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SWG.L$39.00+2.63%
Fair $39.00+0.0%

SWG.L

Shearwater Group plc

Technology / Software - InfrastructureLSE

$39.00

+1.00 (+2.63%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $39.00Fund rank 27/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 20/D
F-Score: 5/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 17%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-1.4M · quality 46.7/100

Data gap 27/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 15/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

20/100

D

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

12/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 3Warnings: 2unknown: 3
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years ROE is -4.7%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · SWG.LLocal privado en este navegador · Shearwater Group plc
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$9M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

2889.5x

↑

ROE

-4.7%

↓

Gross Margin

30.3%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.01

↓
52-Week Range$39
$36$70

TradingView lightweight chart

SWG.L price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $39.00Periodo -99.4%
Fair value: $39.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2024 · 2 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-20.6%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

5.4%

FCF / Net income

-0.57x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $22.6M · net income $-2.2M · FCF $1.2M

2022-FY → 2024-FY

Gross margin

30.3%+0.1% pts

Operating margin

-14.2%-17.2% pts

Net margin

-9.6%-8.8% pts

FCF margin

5.4%+9.6% pts
MetricTTM
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$22.6M$22.6M$26.7M$35.9M
Net Income$-2.2M$-2.2M$-8.2M$-292000.00
EBITDA$320000.00$320000.00$-6.4M$4.5M
EPS-0.09-0.09-0.34-0.01
Gross Margin30.3%30.3%24.2%30.2%
Operating Margin-14.2%-14.2%-35.8%2.9%
Net Margin-9.6%-9.6%-30.6%-0.8%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.010.010.010.00
Current Ratio1.081.08——
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$1.2M$1.2M$-1.4M$-1.5M
Returns
ROE-4.7%-4.7%-17.0%-0.5%
Valuation
EV/EBITDA2889.482889.48—575.61
P/B20.2120.2130.3545.75
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-15.2%-15.2%-25.6%—
EPS Growth73.2%73.2%-3300.0%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -22.0%

Total return

-22.0%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.34 → -0.09

Residual

-22.0%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-22.0%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.