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v0.1
SWIM$5.32+0.76%
Fair $5.32+0.0%

SWIM

Latham Group, Inc.

Industrials / Building Products & EquipmentNasdaqGS

$5.32

+0.04 (+0.76%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $5.32Fund rank 24/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 27/D
F-Score: 7/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 22%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $41.2M · quality 37.7/100

Data gap 24/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 21/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

27/100

D

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

20/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 7Warnings: 1unknown: 7
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 2.7%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · SWIMLocal privado en este navegador · Latham Group, Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$625M

P/E

76.0x

↑

EV/EBITDA

9.5x

↓

ROE

2.7%

↓

Gross Margin

33.4%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.77

↑
52-Week Range$5
$5$9

TradingView lightweight chart

SWIM price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $5.320Periodo -80.5%
Fair value: $5.320

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2019–2025 · 6 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+9.4%

FCF CAGR

-0.9%

FCF margin

4.8%

FCF / Net income

2.34x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $545.9M · net income $11.1M · FCF $26.0M

2019-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

33.4%+2.5% pts

Operating margin

5.6%-2.3% pts

Net margin

2.0%-0.3% pts

FCF margin

4.8%-3.9% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
Income Statement
Revenue$545.9M$545.9M$508.5M$566.5M$695.7M$630.5M$403.4M$318.0M
Net Income$11.1M$11.1M$-17.9M$-2.4M$-5.7M$-62.3M$16.0M$7.5M
EBITDA$90.6M$90.6M$60.5M$61.6M$67.6M$-3.9M$65.3M$46.8M
EPS——-0.15-0.02-0.05-0.560.160.08
Gross Margin33.4%33.4%30.2%27.0%31.1%32.4%35.4%30.9%
Operating Margin5.6%5.6%3.6%2.8%4.3%-5.7%9.9%7.9%
Net Margin2.0%2.0%-3.5%-0.4%-0.8%-9.9%4.0%2.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.770.770.800.830.920.74——
Current Ratio1.881.88——————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$26.0M$26.0M$41.2M$83.2M$-7.4M$8.7M$46.9M$27.5M
Returns
ROE2.7%2.7%-4.6%-0.6%-1.5%-17.6%5.7%3.8%
Valuation
P/E76.0076.00——————
EV/EBITDA9.509.5016.738.1910.15———
P/B1.531.531.960.690.96———
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth7.4%7.4%-10.2%-18.6%—56.3%26.9%—
EPS Growth——-650.0%60.0%—-450.0%100.0%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -5.8%

Total return

-5.8%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.15 → n/d

Residual

-5.8%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-5.8%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.