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v0.1
T12.SI$1.08-6.09%
Fair $1.08+0.0%

T12.SI

Tat Seng Packaging Group Ltd

Consumer Cyclical / Packaging & ContainersSES

$1.08

-0.07 (-6.09%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1.08Fund rank 36/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 52/C
F-Score: 4/9
Declining Revenue

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 24% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $25.3M · quality 77.7/100

Data gap 36/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 73/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

52/100

C

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · T12.SILocal privado en este navegador · Tat Seng Packaging Group Ltd
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$170M

P/E

9.8x

↓

EV/EBITDA

3.9x

↓

ROE

8.0%

↑

Gross Margin

20.9%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.32

↓
52-Week Range$1
$1$2

TradingView lightweight chart

T12.SI price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1.080Periodo +414.3%
Fair value: $1.080

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-11.7%

FCF CAGR

-9.0%

FCF margin

7.7%

FCF / Net income

1.05x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $231.4M · net income $16.9M · FCF $17.8M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

20.9%+3.4% pts

Operating margin

7.7%+0.9% pts

Net margin

7.3%+1.2% pts

FCF margin

7.7%+0.7% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$231.4M$231.4M$253.9M$258.9M$336.3M
Net Income$16.9M$16.9M$18.8M$18.8M$20.7M
EBITDA$32.3M$32.3M$36.1M$37.5M$36.3M
EPS0.110.11—0.120.13
Gross Margin20.9%20.9%22.2%22.1%17.5%
Operating Margin7.7%7.7%8.6%9.5%6.8%
Net Margin7.3%7.3%7.4%7.3%6.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.320.320.330.400.34
Current Ratio2.292.29———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$17.8M$17.8M$25.3M$32.4M$23.6M
Returns
ROE8.0%8.0%9.3%9.8%11.2%
Valuation
P/E9.829.82—5.844.94
EV/EBITDA3.923.922.592.172.27
P/B0.800.800.610.570.55
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-8.9%-8.9%-1.9%-23.0%—
EPS Growth———-8.8%—
Dividend Yield5.2%5.2%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-3.7%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.10

Spread vs growth

-5.1%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

1.5%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.12

Spread vs growth

-10.4%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

5.7%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$0.19

Spread vs growth

-14.6%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +34.6%

Total return

+34.6%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

n/d → 0.11

Residual

+29.3%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+5.2%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+29.3%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.