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TBS.JO$28350.00+2.25%
Fair $28350.00+0.0%

TBS.JO

Tiger Brands Limited

Consumer Defensive / Packaged FoodsJohannesburg

$28350.00

+625.00 (+2.25%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $28350.00Fund rank 27/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 44/C
F-Score: 7/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $1.1B · quality 46.0/100

Data gap 27/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 16/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

44/100

C

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · TBS.JOLocal privado en este navegador · Tiger Brands Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$42.9B

P/E

10.8x

↓

EV/EBITDA

642.3x

↑

ROE

22.5%

↑

Gross Margin

31.3%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.02

↓
52-Week Range$28350
$26722$38500

TradingView lightweight chart

TBS.JO price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $28,350Periodo +427.6%
Fair value: $28,350

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+0.4%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

3.2%

FCF / Net income

0.29x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $34.39B · net income $3.82B · FCF $1.09B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

31.3%+1.0% pts

Operating margin

10.7%+1.2% pts

Net margin

11.1%+2.7% pts

FCF margin

3.2%+4.2% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$34.39B$34.39B$33.49B$37.39B$34.03B
Net Income$3.82B$3.82B$2.98B$2.70B$2.86B
EBITDA$6.88B$6.88B$4.68B$4.72B$4.82B
EPS24.4924.4918.8817.0017.38
Gross Margin31.3%31.3%29.1%27.7%30.3%
Operating Margin10.7%10.7%8.2%7.9%9.4%
Net Margin11.1%11.1%8.9%7.2%8.4%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.020.020.070.120.10
Current Ratio1.901.90———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$1.09B$1.09B$1.98B$-842.4M$-357.2M
Returns
ROE22.5%22.5%16.4%15.6%18.4%
Valuation
P/E10.7910.791276.48867.59977.04
EV/EBITDA642.32642.32813.88495.81580.78
P/B260.16260.16209.14134.95179.30
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth2.7%2.7%-10.4%9.9%—
EPS Growth29.7%29.7%11.1%-2.2%—
Dividend Yield5.9%5.9%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

368.3%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$2515.59

Spread vs growth

-338.6%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

162.4%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$3043.86

Spread vs growth

-132.6%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

69.9%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$4902.17

Spread vs growth

-40.2%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -12.2%

Total return

-12.2%

Start / end P/E

1833.6x → 1157.6x

EPS bridge

18.88 → 24.49

Residual

-11.0%

EPS growth+29.7%
Multiple rerating-36.9%
Dividend+5.9%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-11.0%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.