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TCIEXP.BO$494.75-0.44%
Fair $494.75+0.0%

TCIEXP.BO

TCI Express Limited

Industrials / Integrated Freight & LogisticsBSE

$494.75

-2.20 (-0.44%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $494.75Fund rank 29/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 34/D
F-Score: 3/9
Margin Compression

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 22%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $678.2M · quality 48.7/100

Data gap 29/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 26/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

34/100

D

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · TCIEXP.BOLocal privado en este navegador · TCI Express Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$19.0B

P/E

23.4x

↑

EV/EBITDA

14.1x

↑

ROE

9.9%

↑

Gross Margin

14.5%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.08

↓
52-Week Range$495
$451$870

TradingView lightweight chart

TCIEXP.BO price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $494.75Periodo +41.1%
Fair value: $494.75

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2023–2026 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-0.1%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-1.9%

FCF / Net income

-0.29x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $12.37B · net income $814.3M · FCF $-238.7M

2023-FY → 2026-FY

Gross margin

14.5%-3.4% pts

Operating margin

8.0%-6.6% pts

Net margin

6.6%-4.6% pts

FCF margin

-1.9%-3.6% pts
MetricTTM
2026
2025
2024
2023
Income Statement
Revenue$12.37B$12.37B$12.08B$12.54B$12.41B
Net Income$814.3M$814.3M$858.1M$1.32B$1.39B
EBITDA$1.38B$1.38B$1.38B$1.94B$2.02B
EPS21.1621.1622.3134.2736.20
Gross Margin14.5%14.5%15.2%17.2%17.8%
Operating Margin8.0%8.0%8.5%13.7%14.7%
Net Margin6.6%6.6%7.1%10.5%11.2%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.080.080.010.010.01
Current Ratio3.123.12———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-238.7M$-238.7M$678.2M$838.5M$207.6M
Returns
ROE9.9%9.9%11.2%18.7%23.4%
Valuation
P/E23.3723.3728.6032.1840.98
EV/EBITDA14.1214.1217.7321.8028.28
P/B2.332.333.216.029.57
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth2.4%2.4%-3.6%1.0%—
EPS Growth-5.2%-5.2%-34.9%-5.3%—
Dividend Yield2.4%2.4%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

27.5%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$43.90

Spread vs growth

-32.7%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

20.2%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$53.12

Spread vs growth

-25.4%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

15.0%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$85.55

Spread vs growth

-20.1%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -32.7%

Total return

-32.7%

Start / end P/E

34.2x → 23.4x

EPS bridge

22.31 → 21.16

Residual

+1.6%

EPS growth-5.2%
Multiple rerating-31.6%
Dividend+2.4%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+1.6%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.