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TCW.TO$7.53+0.94%
Fair $7.53+0.0%

TCW.TO

Trican Well Service Ltd.

Energy / Oil & Gas Equipment & ServicesToronto

$7.53

+0.07 (+0.94%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $7.53Fund rank 36/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 70/B
F-Score: 4/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 24% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $104.7M · quality 72.3/100

Data gap 36/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 69/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

70/100

B

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists.
Thesis & Journal · TCW.TOLocal privado en este navegador · Trican Well Service Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$1.6B

P/E

13.9x

↓

EV/EBITDA

7.0x

↓

ROE

16.1%

↑

Gross Margin

19.8%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.17

↓
52-Week Range$8
$4$8

TradingView lightweight chart

TCW.TO price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $7.530Periodo +574.3%
Fair value: $7.530

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+8.2%

FCF CAGR

+29.1%

FCF margin

9.6%

FCF / Net income

0.93x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.10B · net income $112.2M · FCF $104.7M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

19.8%+2.5% pts

Operating margin

14.1%+1.1% pts

Net margin

10.2%+1.1% pts

FCF margin

9.6%+3.9% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.10B$1.10B$980.8M$972.7M$866.3M
Net Income$112.2M$112.2M$109.5M$121.0M$79.2M
EBITDA$240.3M$240.3M$225.5M$238.8M$190.7M
EPS——0.540.550.32
Gross Margin19.8%19.8%19.4%20.7%17.4%
Operating Margin14.1%14.1%15.2%16.6%13.0%
Net Margin10.2%10.2%11.2%12.4%9.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.170.170.040.040.08
Current Ratio2.232.23———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$104.7M$104.7M$79.8M$169.2M$48.6M
Returns
ROE16.1%16.1%22.4%23.4%15.7%
Valuation
P/E13.9413.949.877.6211.19
EV/EBITDA7.047.044.773.594.55
P/B2.282.282.221.791.75
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth11.8%11.8%0.8%12.3%—
EPS Growth——-1.8%71.9%—
Dividend Yield2.9%2.9%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +78.5%

Total return

+78.5%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.54 → n/d

Residual

+75.5%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+2.9%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+75.5%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.