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Recent

v0.1
TEL$214.74+0.62%
Fair $223.80+4.2%

TEL

TE Connectivity plc

Technology / Electronic ComponentsNYSE

$214.74

+1.33 (+0.62%)

Fairly Valued+4.2%Fair Value $223.80Fund rank 82/100 · Buy candidateSEC 19/19 yrs|
SA 54/C
F-Score: 4/9

FCF base 3Y

$282.51

+9.6% CAGR · yield 5.0%

FCF base 5Y

$365.93

+11.3% base · +13.8% expected

Precio de entrada

$170.89

MOS 18% · confianza 88%

FCF escenarios

audited · normalized FCF $2.8B · quality 75.7/100

Buy candidate 82/100
Bear 5Y$192.68-2.1%
Base 5Y$365.93+11.3%
Bull 5Y$711.56+27.1%
Return 93/100Downside 88/100Model quality 76/100Data QA 100/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

54/100

C

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

54/100

+4.2% upside

5Y CAGR

+13.8%

100/100

Data QA

100/100

SEC 100%

Latest source: sec-companyfactsPeriods: 19Warnings: 0sec-companyfacts: 19
Thesis & Journal · TELLocal privado en este navegador · TE Connectivity plc
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$62.7B

P/E

32.9x

↑

EV/EBITDA

16.7x

↑

ROE

14.6%

↑

Gross Margin

35.2%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.45

↑
52-Week Range$215
$158$253
EV/EBITDA Historical16.7x

TradingView lightweight chart

TEL price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $214.74Periodo +452.7%
Buy zone: $170.89Bear 5Y: $192.68Fair value: $223.80Base 5Y: $365.93Bull 5Y: $711.56

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2007–2025 · 18 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+1.8%

FCF CAGR

+9.2%

FCF margin

18.6%

FCF / Net income

1.74x

Latest source

SEC-backed

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $17.26B · net income $1.84B · FCF $3.20B

2007-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

35.2%+5.6% pts

Operating margin

18.6%+13.4% pts

Net margin

10.7%+15.1% pts

FCF margin

18.6%+13.3% pts
SEC-backed annual metrics active for 2025, 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021, 2020, 2019, 2018, 2017, 2016, 2015, 2014, 2013, 2012, 2011, 2010, 2009, 2008, 2007. Local SEC Companyfacts override Yahoo/FMP for audited annual line items; provider-only fields remain as fallback.
MetricTTM
2025SEC
2024SEC
2023SEC
2022SEC
2021SEC
2020SEC
2019SEC
2018SEC
2017SEC
2016SEC
2015SEC
2014SEC
2013SEC
2012SEC
2011SEC
2010SEC
2009SEC
2008SEC
2007SEC
Income Statement
Revenue$17.26B$17.26B$15.85B$16.03B$16.28B$14.92B$12.17B$13.45B$13.99B$12.19B$11.35B$12.23B$11.97B$11.39B$13.28B$13.78B$11.68B$10.26B$14.37B$12.57B
Net Income$1.84B$1.84B$3.19B$1.91B$2.43B$2.26B$-241.0M$1.84B$2.56B$1.68B$2.01B$2.42B$1.78B$1.28B$1.11B$1.25B$1.10B$-3.27B$1.69B$-554.0M
EBITDA$4.12B$4.12B$3.69B$3.14B$3.58B$3.20B$1.25B$2.67B$3.00B$2.49B$2.37B$2.37B$2.36B$1.92B$2.13B$2.25B$1.97B$-2.96B$2.20B$1.15B
EPS6.166.1610.336.037.476.79-0.735.427.274.705.445.894.273.022.592.812.41-7.113.47-1.11
Gross Margin35.2%35.2%34.4%31.5%32.2%32.7%30.7%32.7%33.9%34.3%33.7%33.4%33.2%32.1%30.5%31.0%31.2%24.7%29.0%29.6%
Operating Margin18.6%18.6%17.6%14.4%16.9%16.3%4.4%14.7%16.7%15.4%15.9%14.3%15.1%12.2%11.4%12.2%12.4%-33.9%11.6%5.2%
Net Margin10.7%10.7%20.2%11.9%14.9%15.2%-2.0%13.7%18.3%13.8%17.7%19.8%14.9%11.2%8.4%9.1%9.4%-31.8%11.7%-4.4%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.450.450.340.360.390.380.440.380.370.450.480.460.430.360.470.360.340.350.29—
Current Ratio1.891.89——————————————————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$3.20B$3.20B$2.80B$2.40B$1.70B$1.99B$1.43B$1.67B$1.52B$1.64B$1.34B$1.33B$1.45B$1.47B$1.41B$1.21B$1.30B$1.00B$379.0M$662.0M
Returns
ROE14.6%14.6%25.8%16.5%22.5%21.3%-2.6%17.4%23.7%17.3%23.7%25.2%19.8%15.2%14.0%16.7%15.6%-46.7%15.2%-4.9%
Valuation
P/E32.9232.9219.6333.6327.1529.86—37.4127.8943.1437.2834.4347.4967.1578.2972.1684.14—58.44—
EV/EBITDA16.7016.7012.9913.3611.26———————————————
P/B4.824.825.075.566.106.357.176.526.617.448.828.709.3910.2410.9412.0213.1513.308.908.86
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth8.9%8.9%-1.2%-1.5%9.1%22.6%-9.5%-3.9%14.8%7.3%-7.2%2.2%5.1%-14.2%-3.6%18.0%13.9%-28.6%14.3%—
EPS Growth-40.4%-40.4%71.3%-19.3%10.0%1030.1%-113.5%-25.4%54.7%-13.6%-7.6%37.9%41.4%16.6%-7.8%16.6%133.9%-304.9%412.6%—
Dividend Yield1.4%1.4%——————————————————

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growth
terminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

45.7%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$19.05

Spread vs growth

-86.1%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

30.2%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$23.06

Spread vs growth

-70.6%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

19.7%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$37.13

Spread vs growth

-60.0%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +35.5%

Total return

+35.5%

Start / end P/E

15.5x → 34.9x

EPS bridge

10.33 → 6.16

Residual

-50.4%

EPS growth-40.4%
Multiple rerating+125.0%
Dividend+1.4%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-50.4%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.

11.3x
16.7x
EV/EBITDA vs Sector16.7x
6.5xmed 13.0x25.0x