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TFG.JO$5602.00+1.47%
Fair $5602.00+0.0%

TFG.JO

The Foschini Group Limited

Consumer Cyclical / Department StoresJohannesburg

$5602.00

+81.00 (+1.47%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $5602.00Fund rank 33/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 39/D
F-Score: 5/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 24% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $3.9B · quality 60.3/100

Data gap 33/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 64/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

39/100

D

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · TFG.JOLocal privado en este navegador · The Foschini Group Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$18.0B

P/E

6.3x

↓

EV/EBITDA

152.3x

↑

ROE

12.5%

↑

Gross Margin

49.4%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.91

↑
52-Week Range$5602
$5521$14070

TradingView lightweight chart

TFG.JO price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $5,602Periodo +300.9%
Fair value: $5,602

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+10.3%

FCF CAGR

-2.3%

FCF margin

6.8%

FCF / Net income

1.24x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $58.27B · net income $3.19B · FCF $3.95B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

49.4%+0.9% pts

Operating margin

-0.2%-10.8% pts

Net margin

5.5%-1.2% pts

FCF margin

6.8%-3.0% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$58.27B$58.27B$56.22B$51.78B$43.37B
Net Income$3.19B$3.19B$3.03B$3.03B$2.91B
EBITDA$12.20B$12.20B$11.62B$10.48B$9.15B
EPS9.729.729.299.308.95
Gross Margin49.4%49.4%47.9%47.9%48.5%
Operating Margin-0.2%-0.2%-0.2%9.4%10.7%
Net Margin5.5%5.5%5.4%5.8%6.7%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.910.910.861.020.82
Current Ratio1.601.60———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$3.95B$3.95B$6.71B$115.2M$4.24B
Returns
ROE12.5%12.5%12.6%14.0%15.2%
Valuation
P/E6.256.251076.771006.241667.34
EV/EBITDA152.28152.28282.40292.39531.44
P/B71.7571.75135.20140.62253.48
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth3.6%3.6%8.6%19.4%—
EPS Growth4.7%4.7%-0.2%4.0%—
Dividend Yield6.5%6.5%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

271.1%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$497.08

Spread vs growth

-266.4%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

128.2%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$601.47

Spread vs growth

-123.5%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

58.4%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$968.68

Spread vs growth

-53.7%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -51.5%

Total return

-51.5%

Start / end P/E

1437.1x → 576.1x

EPS bridge

9.29 → 9.72

Residual

-2.8%

EPS growth+4.7%
Multiple rerating-59.9%
Dividend+6.5%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-2.8%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.