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v0.1
TG$7.75-0.77%
Fair $7.75+0.0%

TG

Tredegar Corporation

Industrials / Metal FabricationNYSE

$7.75

-0.06 (-0.77%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $7.75Fund rank 26/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 44/C
F-Score: 6/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $11.2M · quality 45.3/100

Data gap 26/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 15/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

44/100

C

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

20/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 17Warnings: 0unknown: 17
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · TGLocal privado en este navegador · Tredegar Corporation
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$270M

P/E

9.5x

↓

EV/EBITDA

5.5x

↓

ROE

15.5%

↑

Gross Margin

15.1%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.22

↓
52-Week Range$8
$6$11

TradingView lightweight chart

TG price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $7.750Periodo -59.2%
Fair value: $7.750

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2009–2025 · 16 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+0.6%

FCF CAGR

-8.7%

FCF margin

2.2%

FCF / Net income

0.47x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $722.9M · net income $33.5M · FCF $15.7M

2009-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

15.1%— pts

Operating margin

3.9%— pts

Net margin

4.6%+4.8% pts

FCF margin

2.2%-8.1% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
Income Statement
Revenue$722.9M$722.9M$598.0M$573.3M$762.0M——————————$800.8M$739.5M$657.1M
Net Income$33.5M$33.5M$-64.6M$-105.9M$28.5M$57.8M$-75.4M$48.3M$24.8M$38.3M$24.5M$-32.1M$36.9M$21.9M$28.3M$24.9M$27.0M$-1.4M
EBITDA$56.4M$56.4M$31.1M$-116.5M$40.1M—————————————
EPS0.960.96-1.88-3.100.841.72-2.261.450.751.160.75-0.991.130.670.880.770.83-0.04
Gross Margin15.1%15.1%16.1%12.4%13.8%—————————————
Operating Margin3.9%3.9%3.4%-1.7%1.7%—————————————
Net Margin4.6%4.6%-10.8%-18.5%3.7%——————————3.1%3.7%-0.2%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.220.220.430.890.750.40—0.110.290.440.310.380.370.350.340.310.00—
Current Ratio1.721.72————————————————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$15.7M$15.7M$11.2M$-2.5M$-57.7M$43.2M$51.0M$65.0M$57.0M$43.9M$3.4M$41.4M$6.3M$-2.9M$49.3M$55.9M$26.0M$67.4M
Returns
ROE15.5%15.5%-35.7%-68.0%14.1%31.3%-69.2%12.8%7.0%11.1%7.9%-11.8%9.9%5.5%7.6%6.3%6.5%-0.3%
Valuation
P/E9.459.45——12.87—————————————
EV/EBITDA5.515.5110.96—12.42—————————————
P/B1.241.241.491.111.81—————————————
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth20.9%20.9%4.3%-24.8%———————————8.3%12.5%—
EPS Growth151.1%151.1%39.4%-469.0%—176.1%-255.9%93.3%-35.3%54.7%175.8%-187.6%68.7%-23.9%14.3%-7.2%2175.0%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-10.5%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.69

Spread vs growth

161.6%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-2.8%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.83

Spread vs growth

153.9%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

3.4%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$1.34

Spread vs growth

147.7%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -7.5%

Total return

-7.5%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-1.88 → 0.96

Residual

-7.5%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-7.5%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.