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THCH$2.01+0.50%
Fair $2.01+0.0%

THCH

TH International Limited

Consumer Cyclical / RestaurantsNasdaqCM

$2.01

+0.01 (+0.50%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $2.01Fund rank 28/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 22/D
F-Score: 3/9
Declining Revenue

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 21%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-142.5M · quality 58.0/100

Data gap 28/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 23/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

22/100

D

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · THCHLocal privado en este navegador · TH International Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$64M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

35.0%

↑

Gross Margin

15.9%

↓

Debt/Equity

-1.58

↓
52-Week Range$2
$2$3

TradingView lightweight chart

THCH price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $2.010Periodo -95.9%
Fair value: $2.010

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+9.2%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-6.0%

FCF / Net income

0.18x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.32B · net income $-434.5M · FCF $-78.3M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

15.9%+12.6% pts

Operating margin

-19.0%+36.9% pts

Net margin

-33.0%+40.4% pts

FCF margin

-6.0%+55.6% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.32B$1.32B$1.39B$1.56B$1.01B
Net Income$-434.5M$-434.5M$-412.1M$-876.3M$-742.6M
EBITDA$-271.9M$-271.9M$-266.2M$-656.1M$-596.5M
EPS——-12.70-28.41-28.99
Gross Margin15.9%15.9%15.4%10.0%3.3%
Operating Margin-19.0%-19.0%-20.7%-34.6%-55.9%
Net Margin-33.0%-33.0%-29.6%-56.2%-73.5%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity-1.58-1.58-2.23-4.2316.27
Current Ratio0.330.33———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-78.3M$-78.3M$-142.5M$-487.8M$-621.9M
Returns
ROE35.0%35.0%49.0%205.1%-682.3%
Valuation
P/B————3.97
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-5.4%-5.4%-10.8%54.3%—
EPS Growth——55.3%2.0%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -31.4%

Total return

-31.4%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-12.70 → n/d

Residual

-31.4%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-31.4%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.