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THIP-R.BK$21.00-8.70%
Fair $21.00+0.0%

THIP-R.BK

Thantawan Industry Public Company Limited

Consumer Cyclical / Packaging & ContainersThailand

$21.00

-2.00 (-8.70%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $21.00Fund rank 30/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 47/C
F-Score: 3/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 22%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $144.7M · quality 52.7/100

Data gap 30/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 30/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

47/100

C

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · THIP-R.BKLocal privado en este navegador · Thantawan Industry Public Company Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$1.9B

P/E

12.8x

↓

EV/EBITDA

3.1x

↓

ROE

7.4%

↑

Gross Margin

18.3%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.24

↓
52-Week Range$21
$21$26

TradingView lightweight chart

THIP-R.BK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $21.00Periodo -21.5%
Fair value: $21.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+5.8%

FCF CAGR

-28.5%

FCF margin

3.0%

FCF / Net income

0.70x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $4.83B · net income $206.7M · FCF $144.7M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

18.3%-0.7% pts

Operating margin

6.4%-2.6% pts

Net margin

4.3%-4.6% pts

FCF margin

3.0%-6.7% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$4.83B$4.83B$4.28B$3.41B$4.07B
Net Income$206.7M$206.7M$329.0M$288.5M$363.0M
EBITDA$508.5M$508.5M$574.5M$487.8M$565.0M
EPS2.302.303.663.214.03
Gross Margin18.3%18.3%20.2%20.0%19.0%
Operating Margin6.4%6.4%8.2%7.9%9.0%
Net Margin4.3%4.3%7.7%8.5%8.9%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.240.240.100.010.01
Current Ratio3.163.16———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$144.7M$144.7M$-206.0M$443.6M$395.6M
Returns
ROE7.4%7.4%11.9%10.9%14.4%
Valuation
P/E12.8012.807.7910.129.70
EV/EBITDA3.123.123.824.085.80
P/B0.670.670.931.111.40
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth13.0%13.0%25.4%-16.2%—
EPS Growth-37.2%-37.2%14.0%-20.3%—
Dividend Yield7.0%7.0%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-6.8%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$1.86

Spread vs growth

-30.4%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-0.4%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$2.25

Spread vs growth

-36.8%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

4.7%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$3.63

Spread vs growth

-41.8%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -13.0%

Total return

-13.0%

Start / end P/E

7.2x → 9.1x

EPS bridge

3.66 → 2.30

Residual

-10.1%

EPS growth-37.2%
Multiple rerating+27.3%
Dividend+7.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-10.1%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.