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TISG.MI$1.55+0.91%
Fair $1.55+0.0%

TISG.MI

The Italian Sea Group S.p.A.

Consumer Cyclical / LeisureMilan

$1.55

+0.01 (+0.91%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1.55Fund rank 29/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 46/C
F-Score: 3/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 32% · confianza 23%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $22.6M · quality 48.3/100

Data gap 29/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 33/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

46/100

C

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · TISG.MILocal privado en este navegador · The Italian Sea Group S.p.A.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$82M

P/E

6.5x

↓

EV/EBITDA

1.2x

↓

ROE

23.4%

↑

Gross Margin

84.8%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.50

↑
52-Week Range$2
$1$6

TradingView lightweight chart

TISG.MI price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1.554Periodo -72.1%
Fair value: $1.554

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2021–2024 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+25.2%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-3.6%

FCF / Net income

-0.39x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $365.4M · net income $33.9M · FCF $-13.2M

2021-FY → 2024-FY

Gross margin

84.8%+9.9% pts

Operating margin

11.7%+2.8% pts

Net margin

9.3%+0.5% pts

FCF margin

-3.6%-10.6% pts
MetricTTM
2024
2023
2022
2021
Income Statement
Revenue$365.4M$365.4M$345.9M$283.8M$186.1M
Net Income$33.9M$33.9M$36.9M$24.0M$16.3M
EBITDA$78.6M$78.6M$63.2M$43.6M$26.8M
EPS0.640.640.700.450.31
Gross Margin84.8%84.8%81.2%78.7%74.9%
Operating Margin11.7%11.7%11.5%9.3%8.9%
Net Margin9.3%9.3%10.7%8.5%8.8%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.500.500.570.840.46
Current Ratio1.611.61———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-13.2M$-13.2M$22.6M$44.5M$13.0M
Returns
ROE23.4%23.4%28.1%22.1%17.6%
Valuation
P/E6.486.4811.5712.78—
EV/EBITDA1.211.216.737.23—
P/B0.570.573.262.80—
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth5.6%5.6%21.9%52.6%—
EPS Growth-8.2%-8.2%54.8%45.2%—
Dividend Yield18.9%18.9%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-40.0%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.14

Spread vs growth

31.9%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-23.6%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.17

Spread vs growth

15.4%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

-8.3%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.27

Spread vs growth

0.1%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -53.2%

Total return

-53.2%

Start / end P/E

8.0x → 2.4x

EPS bridge

0.70 → 0.64

Residual

+5.7%

EPS growth-8.2%
Multiple rerating-69.6%
Dividend+18.9%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+5.7%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.