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TKG.JO$6283.00+1.54%
Fair $6283.00+0.0%

TKG.JO

Telkom SA SOC Ltd

Communication Services / Telecom ServicesJohannesburg

$6283.00

+95.00 (+1.54%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $6283.00Fund rank 27/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 61/B
F-Score: 7/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 19%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $1.7B · quality 44.7/100

Data gap 27/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 20/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

61/100

B

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · TKG.JOLocal privado en este navegador · Telkom SA SOC Ltd
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$30.9B

P/E

8.9x

↓

EV/EBITDA

276.6x

↑

ROE

22.3%

↑

Gross Margin

82.0%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.55

↑
52-Week Range$6283
$3863$6661

TradingView lightweight chart

TKG.JO price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $6,283Periodo +327.4%
Fair value: $6,283

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+0.9%

FCF CAGR

+243.2%

FCF margin

11.1%

FCF / Net income

0.65x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $43.88B · net income $7.50B · FCF $4.89B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

82.0%+3.3% pts

Operating margin

17.0%+3.9% pts

Net margin

17.1%+10.9% pts

FCF margin

11.1%+10.9% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$43.88B$43.88B$42.46B$41.84B$42.76B
Net Income$7.50B$7.50B$1.88B$-9.97B$2.63B
EBITDA$11.33B$11.33B$9.64B$8.21B$11.64B
EPS15.0615.063.77-20.595.20
Gross Margin82.0%82.0%77.7%76.3%78.7%
Operating Margin17.0%17.0%12.4%4.4%13.1%
Net Margin17.1%17.1%4.4%-23.8%6.2%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.550.550.800.850.51
Current Ratio1.121.12———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$4.89B$4.89B$1.67B$-1.49B$121.0M
Returns
ROE22.3%22.3%7.2%-41.2%7.7%
Valuation
P/E8.868.86745.95—850.36
EV/EBITDA276.63276.63147.03207.90193.39
P/B93.0593.0553.4569.8465.64
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth3.3%3.3%1.5%-2.1%—
EPS Growth299.9%299.9%118.3%-496.0%—
Dividend Yield2.6%2.6%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

233.2%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$557.51

Spread vs growth

66.7%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

113.9%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$674.59

Spread vs growth

186.0%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

53.4%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1086.43

Spread vs growth

246.5%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +58.1%

Total return

+58.1%

Start / end P/E

1072.5x → 417.1x

EPS bridge

3.77 → 15.06

Residual

-183.3%

EPS growth+299.9%
Multiple rerating-61.1%
Dividend+2.6%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-183.3%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.