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v0.1
TMCI$3.60+3.47%
Fair $3.60+0.0%

TMCI

Treace Medical Concepts, Inc.

Healthcare / Medical DevicesNasdaqGS

$3.60

+0.13 (+3.47%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $3.60Fund rank 30/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 28/D
F-Score: 2/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-46.0M · quality 68.7/100

Data gap 30/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 44/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

28/100

D

Piotroski

2/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

20/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 7Warnings: 1unknown: 7
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is -67.6%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · TMCILocal privado en este navegador · Treace Medical Concepts, Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$234M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-67.6%

↓

Gross Margin

79.8%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.82

↑
52-Week Range$4
$1$8

TradingView lightweight chart

TMCI price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $3.725Periodo -85.4%
Fair value: $3.600

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2019–2025 · 6 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+32.4%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-13.9%

FCF / Net income

0.50x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $212.7M · net income $-59.0M · FCF $-29.5M

2019-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

79.8%-0.8% pts

Operating margin

-25.5%-16.5% pts

Net margin

-27.7%-16.9% pts

FCF margin

-13.9%+8.7% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
Income Statement
Revenue$212.7M$212.7M$209.4M$187.1M$141.8M$94.4M$57.4M$39.4M
Net Income$-59.0M$-59.0M$-55.7M$-49.5M$-42.8M$-20.6M$-3.7M$-4.3M
EBITDA$-43.1M$-43.1M$-42.1M$-39.0M$-36.3M$-15.8M$2.1M$-2.7M
EPS——-0.90-0.81-0.77-0.43-0.12—
Gross Margin79.8%79.8%80.4%81.2%82.0%82.1%78.3%80.6%
Operating Margin-25.5%-25.5%-26.6%-27.5%-24.6%-17.5%1.5%-9.0%
Net Margin-27.7%-27.7%-26.6%-26.5%-30.2%-21.8%-6.4%-10.8%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.820.820.620.511.130.3237.61—
Current Ratio3.583.58——————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-29.5M$-29.5M$-48.8M$-46.0M$-45.5M$-19.9M$-5.6M$-8.9M
Returns
ROE-67.6%-67.6%-49.4%-35.9%-70.7%-22.1%-472.7%-134.9%
Valuation
P/B2.722.724.355.2521.60———
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth1.6%1.6%11.9%31.9%—64.6%45.5%—
EPS Growth——-11.1%-5.2%—-258.3%——

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -35.1%

Total return

-35.1%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.90 → n/d

Residual

-35.1%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-35.1%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.