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TMP.MI$5.74-5.54%
Fair $5.74+0.0%

TMP.MI

TMP Group S.p.A.

Communication Services / Advertising AgenciesMilan

$5.74

-0.30 (-5.54%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $5.74Fund rank 24/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 54/C
F-Score: 7/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-1.1M · quality 45.0/100

Data gap 24/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 4/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

54/100

C

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 3.3%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · TMP.MILocal privado en este navegador · TMP Group S.p.A.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$8M

P/E

44.2x

↑

EV/EBITDA

7.5x

↓

ROE

3.3%

↓

Gross Margin

98.8%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.14

↓
52-Week Range$6
$2$7

TradingView lightweight chart

TMP.MI price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $5.120Periodo -47.5%
Fair value: $5.740

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-4.1%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-9.1%

FCF / Net income

-2.78x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $5.6M · net income $184059.0 · FCF $-511377.0

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

98.8%+9.1% pts

Operating margin

5.6%-27.9% pts

Net margin

3.3%-6.0% pts

FCF margin

-9.1%-13.6% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$5.6M$5.6M$5.0M$5.6M$6.4M
Net Income$184059.00$184059.00$49622.00$-1.2M$588066.00
EBITDA$1.1M$1.1M$978605.00$-96395.00$1.5M
EPS0.130.130.03-0.830.40
Gross Margin98.8%98.8%101.6%95.2%89.6%
Operating Margin5.6%5.6%5.8%-7.6%33.5%
Net Margin3.3%3.3%1.0%-21.1%9.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.140.140.210.220.50
Current Ratio2.612.61———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-511377.00$-511377.00$-1.1M$-2.9M$281873.00
Returns
ROE3.3%3.3%0.9%-22.2%26.8%
Valuation
P/E44.1544.1542.01——
EV/EBITDA7.507.502.61——
P/B1.461.460.391.26—
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth11.9%11.9%-10.5%-12.0%—
EPS Growth272.7%272.7%104.2%-306.4%—
Dividend Yield1.0%1.0%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

57.5%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.51

Spread vs growth

215.2%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

36.4%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.62

Spread vs growth

236.2%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

22.5%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.99

Spread vs growth

250.2%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +182.3%

Total return

+182.3%

Start / end P/E

52.0x → 39.3x

EPS bridge

0.03 → 0.13

Residual

-66.8%

EPS growth+272.7%
Multiple rerating-24.5%
Dividend+1.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-66.8%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.