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TPGM.TA$1579.00-3.01%
Fair $1579.00+0.0%

TPGM.TA

TopGum Industries Ltd.

Consumer Defensive / ConfectionersTel Aviv

$1579.00

-49.00 (-3.01%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1579.00Fund rank 25/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 39/D
F-Score: 2/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 19%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-9.4M · quality 51.7/100

Data gap 25/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 14/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

39/100

D

Piotroski

2/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is -17.5%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · TPGM.TALocal privado en este navegador · TopGum Industries Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$2.0B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-17.5%

↓

Gross Margin

32.1%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.56

↑
52-Week Range$1579
$669$1999

TradingView lightweight chart

TPGM.TA price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1,579Periodo +211.6%
Fair value: $1,579

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+32.0%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-9.3%

FCF / Net income

0.59x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $101.0M · net income $-15.9M · FCF $-9.4M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

32.1%-2.7% pts

Operating margin

8.4%-1.4% pts

Net margin

-15.8%-24.1% pts

FCF margin

-9.3%+18.5% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$101.0M$101.0M$59.3M$45.6M$43.9M
Net Income$-15.9M$-15.9M$-6.5M$3.2M$3.6M
EBITDA$-8.0M$-8.0M$-2.6M$6.3M$6.4M
EPS——-0.060.030.04
Gross Margin32.1%32.1%34.6%33.1%34.7%
Operating Margin8.4%8.4%6.3%4.3%9.8%
Net Margin-15.8%-15.8%-10.9%7.0%8.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.560.560.500.370.17
Current Ratio1.101.10———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-9.4M$-9.4M$-6.7M$-25.4M$-12.2M
Returns
ROE-17.5%-17.5%-10.4%4.8%7.9%
Valuation
P/E———19326.6719157.50
EV/EBITDA———9029.8511569.78
P/B2144.142144.141135.10837.751597.56
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth70.3%70.3%30.0%3.8%—
EPS Growth——-300.0%-25.0%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +84.7%

Total return

+84.7%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.06 → n/d

Residual

+84.7%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+84.7%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.