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TPL.V$1.40+12.00%
Fair $1.40+0.0%

TPL.V

Tethys Petroleum Limited

Energy / Oil & Gas E&PTSXV

$1.40

+0.15 (+12.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1.40Fund rank 23/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 25/D
F-Score: 7/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 15%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-889000.00 · quality 31.0/100

Data gap 23/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 17/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

25/100

D

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists.
Thesis & Journal · TPL.VLocal privado en este navegador · Tethys Petroleum Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$161M

P/E

12.7x

↓

EV/EBITDA

17.2x

↑

ROE

22.0%

↑

Gross Margin

53.8%

↑

Debt/Equity

N/A

•
52-Week Range$1
$1$2

TradingView lightweight chart

TPL.V price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1.400Periodo -56.9%
Fair value: $1.400

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-26.1%

FCF CAGR

-51.2%

FCF margin

9.8%

FCF / Net income

0.39x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $26.4M · net income $6.7M · FCF $2.6M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

53.8%-23.8% pts

Operating margin

31.2%-38.4% pts

Net margin

25.2%+6.5% pts

FCF margin

9.8%-24.1% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$26.4M$26.4M$15.2M$36.5M$65.5M
Net Income$6.7M$6.7M$-12.4M$9.7M$12.3M
EBITDA$8.0M$8.0M$-16.6M$23.5M$50.3M
EPS0.060.06-0.110.080.10
Gross Margin53.8%53.8%44.2%71.6%77.6%
Operating Margin31.2%31.2%15.2%56.0%69.6%
Net Margin25.2%25.2%-81.5%26.7%18.8%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity————0.07
Current Ratio0.980.98———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$2.6M$2.6M$-889000.00$-2.0M$22.2M
Returns
ROE22.0%22.0%-53.5%23.1%35.0%
Valuation
P/E12.7312.73—8.757.30
EV/EBITDA17.2117.21—3.191.54
P/B4.804.805.011.952.55
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth73.8%73.8%-58.3%-44.3%—
EPS Growth154.5%154.5%-237.5%-20.0%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

27.5%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.12

Spread vs growth

127.1%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

20.2%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.15

Spread vs growth

134.4%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

15.0%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$0.24

Spread vs growth

139.6%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +16.7%

Total return

+16.7%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.11 → 0.06

Residual

+16.7%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+16.7%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.