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Financial Analysis

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v0.1
TPS.MI$8.00+0.63%
Fair $8.00+0.0%

TPS.MI

Technical Publications Service S.p.A.

Industrials / Airports & Air ServicesMilan

$8.00

+0.05 (+0.63%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $8.00Fund rank 32/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 63/B
F-Score: 8/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 32% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $2.5M · quality 62.0/100

Data gap 32/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 43/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

63/100

B

Piotroski

8/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · TPS.MILocal privado en este navegador · Technical Publications Service S.p.A.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$57M

P/E

12.7x

↓

EV/EBITDA

3.8x

↓

ROE

12.7%

↑

Gross Margin

50.2%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.06

↓
52-Week Range$8
$7$9

TradingView lightweight chart

TPS.MI price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $8.000Periodo +77.8%
Fair value: $8.000

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2021–2024 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+11.2%

FCF CAGR

-11.8%

FCF margin

12.5%

FCF / Net income

1.49x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $50.8M · net income $4.2M · FCF $6.3M

2021-FY → 2024-FY

Gross margin

50.2%+17.0% pts

Operating margin

14.3%+1.0% pts

Net margin

8.4%-1.0% pts

FCF margin

12.5%-12.6% pts
MetricTTM
2024
2023
2022
2021
Income Statement
Revenue$50.8M$50.8M$46.8M$36.8M$36.9M
Net Income$4.2M$4.2M$3.3M$3.6M$3.4M
EBITDA$8.8M$8.8M$8.3M$7.1M$7.1M
EPS0.670.670.490.490.47
Gross Margin50.2%50.2%49.1%34.6%33.2%
Operating Margin14.3%14.3%13.7%14.7%13.3%
Net Margin8.4%8.4%7.2%9.7%9.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.060.060.100.110.10
Current Ratio4.174.17———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$6.3M$6.3M$-157162.00$2.5M$9.3M
Returns
ROE12.7%12.7%11.0%12.9%14.5%
Valuation
P/E12.7012.7013.1311.9411.91
EV/EBITDA3.773.774.143.673.56
P/B1.511.511.511.531.71
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth8.5%8.5%27.0%-0.2%—
EPS Growth37.5%37.5%-0.5%4.3%—
Dividend Yield1.1%1.1%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

1.9%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.71

Spread vs growth

35.5%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

5.1%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$0.86

Spread vs growth

32.4%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

7.5%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$1.38

Spread vs growth

30.0%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +8.5%

Total return

+8.5%

Start / end P/E

15.3x → 11.9x

EPS bridge

0.49 → 0.67

Residual

-8.2%

EPS growth+37.5%
Multiple rerating-21.9%
Dividend+1.1%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-8.2%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.