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TSG.JO$789.00+3.95%
Fair $789.00+0.0%

TSG.JO

Tsogo Sun Limited

Consumer Cyclical / Resorts & CasinosJohannesburg

$789.00

+30.00 (+3.95%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $789.00Fund rank 30/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 43/C
F-Score: 7/9
Declining RevenueMargin Compression

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 25% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $720.0M · quality 57.3/100

Data gap 30/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 68/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

43/100

C

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · TSG.JOLocal privado en este navegador · Tsogo Sun Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$7.7B

P/E

6.3x

↓

EV/EBITDA

257.3x

↑

ROE

23.9%

↑

Gross Margin

63.6%

↑

Debt/Equity

1.27

↑
52-Week Range$789
$613$817

TradingView lightweight chart

TSG.JO price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $789.00Periodo +550.0%
Fair value: $789.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2023–2026 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-0.7%

FCF CAGR

-8.7%

FCF margin

9.8%

FCF / Net income

0.82x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $10.84B · net income $1.29B · FCF $1.06B

2023-FY → 2026-FY

Gross margin

63.6%+1.8% pts

Operating margin

23.0%-4.8% pts

Net margin

11.9%-3.8% pts

FCF margin

9.8%-2.8% pts
MetricTTM
2026
2025
2024
2023
Income Statement
Revenue$10.84B$10.84B$10.88B$11.26B$11.08B
Net Income$1.29B$1.29B$1.24B$1.53B$1.74B
EBITDA$3.17B$3.17B$3.18B$3.70B$3.90B
EPS1.261.261.201.471.67
Gross Margin63.6%63.6%63.8%78.6%61.8%
Operating Margin23.0%23.0%23.1%27.1%27.8%
Net Margin11.9%11.9%11.4%13.6%15.7%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.271.271.501.771.95
Current Ratio0.730.73———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$1.06B$1.06B$720.0M$697.0M$1.40B
Returns
ROE23.9%23.9%24.3%32.1%38.6%
Valuation
P/E6.266.26638.33741.50757.49
EV/EBITDA257.32257.32252.30308.86341.82
P/B149.11149.11155.20238.43293.07
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-0.3%-0.3%-3.4%1.6%—
EPS Growth5.0%5.0%-18.4%-12.0%—
Dividend Yield7.9%7.9%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

281.6%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$70.01

Spread vs growth

-276.6%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

132.0%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$84.71

Spread vs growth

-127.0%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

59.8%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$136.43

Spread vs growth

-54.8%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +8.4%

Total return

+8.4%

Start / end P/E

654.2x → 626.2x

EPS bridge

1.20 → 1.26

Residual

-0.2%

EPS growth+5.0%
Multiple rerating-4.3%
Dividend+7.9%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-0.2%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.