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TSLA$422.96+1.64%
Fair $422.96+0.0%

TSLA

Tesla, Inc.

Consumer Cyclical / Auto ManufacturersNasdaqGS

$422.96

+6.82 (+1.64%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $422.96Fund rank 35/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 58/C
F-Score: 5/9
Margin CompressionLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 23% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $4.4B · quality 72.7/100

Data gap 35/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 69/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

58/100

C

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

20/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 17Warnings: 2unknown: 17
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is 4.6%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · TSLALocal privado en este navegador · Tesla, Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$1.59T

P/E

391.5x

↑

EV/EBITDA

126.6x

↑

ROE

4.6%

↓

Gross Margin

18.0%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.18

↓
52-Week Range$423
$273$499

TradingView lightweight chart

TSLA price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $422.70Periodo +26440.7%
Fair value: $422.96

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2009–2025 · 16 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+52.4%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

6.6%

FCF / Net income

1.64x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $94.83B · net income $3.79B · FCF $6.22B

2009-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

18.0%+9.5% pts

Operating margin

5.1%+51.5% pts

Net margin

4.0%+53.8% pts

FCF margin

6.6%+89.4% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
Income Statement
Revenue$94.83B$94.83B$97.69B$96.77B$81.46B$53.82B$31.54B$24.58B$21.46B$11.76B$7.00B$4.05B$3.20B$2.01B$413.3M$204.2M$116.7M$111.9M
Net Income$3.79B$3.79B$7.13B$15.00B$12.58B$5.52B$721.0M$-862.0M$-976.0M$-1.96B$-674.9M$-888.7M$-294.0M$-74.0M$-396.2M$-254.4M$-154.3M$-55.7M
EBITDA$11.76B$11.76B$14.71B$14.80B$17.66B————$-862.7M$-190.0M$-437.9M$-30.8M$22.6M$-369.0M$-236.9M$-136.8M$-45.0M
EPS1.081.082.044.313.621.630.21-0.33-0.38-0.79-0.31-0.46——————
Gross Margin18.0%18.0%17.9%18.2%25.6%25.3%21.0%16.6%18.8%18.9%22.8%22.8%27.6%22.7%7.3%30.2%26.3%8.5%
Operating Margin5.1%5.1%7.9%9.2%17.0%12.1%6.3%-0.3%-1.8%-13.9%-9.5%-17.7%-5.8%-3.0%-95.4%-123.1%-125.8%-46.4%
Net Margin4.0%4.0%7.3%15.5%15.4%10.3%2.3%-3.5%-4.5%-16.7%-9.6%-22.0%-9.2%-3.7%-95.9%-124.6%-132.2%-49.8%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.180.180.190.150.130.140.381.571.712.081.24—3.250.003.221.200.35—
Current Ratio2.042.04————————————————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$6.22B$6.22B$3.58B$4.36B$7.55B$5.01B$2.79B$1.08B$-3.0M$-3.48B$-1.40B——$-6.2M$-505.3M$-312.3M$-168.0M$-92.7M
Returns
ROE4.6%4.6%9.8%23.9%28.1%18.3%3.2%-13.0%-19.8%-46.3%-14.2%-82.0%-32.3%-11.1%-317.7%-113.6%-74.5%22.0%
Valuation
P/E391.49391.49201.2055.1031.23—————————————
EV/EBITDA126.58126.5889.5755.4421.66—————————————
P/B18.1518.1518.1013.218.79—————————————
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-2.9%-2.9%0.9%18.8%—70.7%28.3%14.5%82.5%68.0%73.0%26.5%58.8%387.2%102.3%74.9%4.3%—
EPS Growth-47.1%-47.1%-52.7%19.1%—676.2%164.3%14.0%51.8%-152.8%32.5%———————

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

226.3%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$37.53

Spread vs growth

-273.4%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

111.2%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$45.41

Spread vs growth

-158.3%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

52.4%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$73.14

Spread vs growth

-99.5%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +23.3%

Total return

+23.3%

Start / end P/E

168.0x → 391.4x

EPS bridge

2.04 → 1.08

Residual

-62.6%

EPS growth-47.1%
Multiple rerating+133.0%
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-62.6%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.