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v0.1
TUCLK.IS$4.55+0.00%
Fair $4.55+0.0%

TUCLK.IS

Tugçelik Alüminyum Ve Metal Mamulleri Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S.

Industrials / Metal FabricationIstanbul

$4.55

+0.00 (+0.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $4.55Fund rank 23/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 37/D
F-Score: 4/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-231.5M · quality 45.0/100

Data gap 23/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 6/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

37/100

D

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · TUCLK.ISLocal privado en este navegador · Tugçelik Alüminyum Ve Metal Mamulleri Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$1.6B

P/E

25.3x

↑

EV/EBITDA

10.3x

↑

ROE

7.6%

↑

Gross Margin

15.2%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.69

↑
52-Week Range$5
$4$13

TradingView lightweight chart

TUCLK.IS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $4.430Periodo +543.6%
Fair value: $4.550

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2021–2024 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+70.8%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

4.6%

FCF / Net income

0.42x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.61B · net income $174.9M · FCF $73.5M

2021-FY → 2024-FY

Gross margin

15.2%-5.3% pts

Operating margin

7.3%-7.9% pts

Net margin

10.8%-12.7% pts

FCF margin

4.6%+66.2% pts
MetricTTM
2024
2023
2022
2021
Income Statement
Revenue$1.61B$1.61B$2.07B$1.27B$323.9M
Net Income$174.9M$174.9M$447.3M$204.1M$76.2M
EBITDA$295.4M$295.4M$529.2M$273.3M$98.6M
EPS0.540.541.380.630.23
Gross Margin15.2%15.2%13.1%15.5%20.5%
Operating Margin7.3%7.3%5.8%9.0%15.2%
Net Margin10.8%10.8%21.7%16.1%23.5%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.690.690.870.860.93
Current Ratio1.441.44———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$73.5M$73.5M$-231.5M$-552.2M$-199.6M
Returns
ROE7.6%7.6%20.6%17.4%31.0%
Valuation
P/E25.2825.287.769.1810.76
EV/EBITDA10.3410.349.5510.269.92
P/B0.640.641.601.603.33
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-21.8%-21.8%62.9%291.3%—
EPS Growth-61.0%-61.0%119.3%167.7%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-9.1%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.40

Spread vs growth

-51.8%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-1.9%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.49

Spread vs growth

-59.1%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

3.9%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.79

Spread vs growth

-64.8%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -49.2%

Total return

-49.2%

Start / end P/E

6.3x → 8.2x

EPS bridge

1.38 → 0.54

Residual

-18.4%

EPS growth-61.0%
Multiple rerating+30.1%
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-18.4%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.