StockAnalyzer

Financial Analysis

DashboardSectorsComparablesScreenerUniverseMicrocapsAI 2nd OrderTheme MapEnergy & MaterialsMacroWatchlistCompareMi CarteraPortfolio

Recent

v0.1
TUPY3.SA$12.79-0.08%
Fair $12.79+0.0%

TUPY3.SA

Tupy S.A.

Industrials / Metal FabricationSão Paulo

$12.79

-0.01 (-0.08%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $12.79Fund rank 24/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 16/F
F-Score: 3/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $467.2M · quality 37.0/100

Data gap 24/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 30/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

16/100

F

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years ROE is -26.2%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · TUPY3.SALocal privado en este navegador · Tupy S.A.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$1.7B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

14.7x

↑

ROE

-26.2%

↓

Gross Margin

12.6%

↓

Debt/Equity

1.73

↑
52-Week Range$13
$11$20

TradingView lightweight chart

TUPY3.SA price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $12.79Periodo -99.4%
Fair value: $12.79

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-1.6%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

4.8%

FCF / Net income

-0.71x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $9.69B · net income $-656.8M · FCF $467.2M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

12.6%-5.9% pts

Operating margin

2.8%-5.3% pts

Net margin

-6.8%-11.8% pts

FCF margin

4.8%+5.2% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$9.69B$9.69B$10.67B$11.37B$10.18B
Net Income$-656.8M$-656.8M$79.5M$508.1M$508.3M
EBITDA$281.6M$281.6M$1.11B$1.20B$1.18B
EPS——0.603.503.50
Gross Margin12.6%12.6%18.1%17.0%18.5%
Operating Margin2.8%2.8%7.7%7.1%8.1%
Net Margin-6.8%-6.8%0.7%4.5%5.0%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.731.731.411.201.22
Current Ratio2.242.24———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$467.2M$467.2M$858.8M$258.8M$-42.3M
Returns
ROE-26.2%-26.2%2.3%15.3%16.7%
Valuation
P/E——35.367.707.58
EV/EBITDA14.7114.714.915.235.13
P/B0.670.670.831.181.27
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-9.1%-9.1%-6.2%11.7%—
EPS Growth——-82.7%-0.2%—
Dividend Yield14.7%14.7%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -20.8%

Total return

-20.8%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.60 → n/d

Residual

-35.4%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+14.7%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-35.4%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.