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TWG$2.79+1.82%
Fair $2.79+0.0%

TWG

Top Wealth Group Holding Limited

Consumer Defensive / Food DistributionNasdaqCM

$2.79

+0.05 (+1.82%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $2.79Fund rank 25/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 43/C
F-Score: 4/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-863616.00 · quality 43.7/100

Data gap 25/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 10/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

43/100

C

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists.
Thesis & Journal · TWGLocal privado en este navegador · Top Wealth Group Holding Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$72M

P/E

0.7x

↓

EV/EBITDA

0.6x

↓

ROE

11.5%

↑

Gross Margin

74.6%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.01

↓
52-Week Range$3
$3$26

TradingView lightweight chart

TWG price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $2.790Periodo -98.2%
Fair value: $2.790

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+2.4%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-67.8%

FCF / Net income

-1.94x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $9.1M · net income $3.2M · FCF $-6.2M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

74.6%+25.2% pts

Operating margin

34.9%+8.2% pts

Net margin

34.9%+12.4% pts

FCF margin

-67.8%-63.6% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$9.1M$9.1M$4.7M$16.9M$8.5M
Net Income$3.2M$3.2M$-2.0M$2.4M$1.9M
EBITDA$3.2M$3.2M$-453325.00$3.3M$2.5M
EPS——-5.317.575.95
Gross Margin74.6%74.6%52.8%31.8%49.4%
Operating Margin34.9%34.9%-10.9%18.0%26.8%
Net Margin34.9%34.9%-42.5%14.4%22.5%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.010.01—0.170.03
Current Ratio10.6610.66———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-6.2M$-6.2M$887554.00$-863616.00$-360913.00
Returns
ROE11.5%11.5%-10.8%49.2%76.3%
Valuation
P/E0.720.72———
EV/EBITDA0.610.61———
P/B0.150.150.49——
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth92.3%92.3%-72.0%99.0%—
EPS Growth——-170.2%27.1%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -77.2%

Total return

-77.2%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-5.31 → n/d

Residual

-77.2%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-77.2%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.