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v0.1
UDMY$4.63+0.00%
Fair $4.63+0.0%

UDMY

Udemy, Inc.

Consumer Defensive / Education & Training ServicesNasdaqGM

$4.63

+0.00 (+0.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $4.63Fund rank 27/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 45/C
F-Score: 7/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 19%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $38.3M · quality 47.7/100

Data gap 27/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 18/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

45/100

C

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 1.8%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · UDMYLocal privado en este navegador · Udemy, Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$677M

P/E

154.3x

↑

EV/EBITDA

13.7x

↑

ROE

1.8%

↓

Gross Margin

65.6%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.05

↓
52-Week Range$5
$4$8

TradingView lightweight chart

UDMY price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $4.630Periodo -83.2%
Fair value: $4.630

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+7.9%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

8.9%

FCF / Net income

18.38x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $789.8M · net income $3.8M · FCF $70.0M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

65.6%+9.4% pts

Operating margin

-0.3%+23.7% pts

Net margin

0.5%+24.9% pts

FCF margin

8.9%+21.0% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$789.8M$789.8M$786.6M$728.9M$629.1M
Net Income$3.8M$3.8M$-85.3M$-107.3M$-153.9M
EBITDA$34.4M$34.4M$-47.2M$-78.5M$-129.1M
EPS0.030.03-0.56-0.71-1.09
Gross Margin65.6%65.6%62.5%57.5%56.2%
Operating Margin-0.3%-0.3%-9.2%-15.3%-24.0%
Net Margin0.5%0.5%-10.8%-14.7%-24.5%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.050.050.050.020.04
Current Ratio1.281.28———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$70.0M$70.0M$38.3M$-15.1M$-76.7M
Returns
ROE1.8%1.8%-43.2%-30.1%-45.3%
Valuation
P/E154.33154.33———
EV/EBITDA13.7513.75———
P/B3.303.306.505.514.66
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth0.4%0.4%7.9%15.9%—
EPS Growth105.4%105.4%21.1%34.9%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

139.2%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.41

Spread vs growth

-33.9%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

75.3%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.50

Spread vs growth

30.0%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

38.9%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.80

Spread vs growth

66.5%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -31.6%

Total return

-31.6%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.56 → 0.03

Residual

-31.6%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-31.6%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.