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ULH$16.20+1.82%
Fair $16.20+0.0%

ULH

Universal Logistics Holdings, Inc.

Industrials / TruckingNasdaqGS

$16.20

+0.29 (+1.82%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $16.20Fund rank 23/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 15/F
F-Score: 2/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 23%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-41.1M · quality 30.7/100

Data gap 23/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 18/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

15/100

F

Piotroski

2/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

20/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 17Warnings: 1unknown: 17
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists. ROE is -18.5%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · ULHLocal privado en este navegador · Universal Logistics Holdings, Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$427M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

14.4x

↑

ROE

-18.5%

↓

Gross Margin

10.4%

↓

Debt/Equity

1.80

↑
52-Week Range$16
$12$31

TradingView lightweight chart

ULH price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $16.20Periodo -28.0%
Fair value: $16.20

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2009–2025 · 16 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+7.3%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-2.6%

FCF / Net income

0.41x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.56B · net income $-99.9M · FCF $-41.1M

2009-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

10.4%— pts

Operating margin

3.9%+2.1% pts

Net margin

-6.4%-7.4% pts

FCF margin

-2.6%-2.8% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
Income Statement
Revenue$1.56B$1.56B$1.85B$1.66B$2.02B$1.75B$1.39B$1.51B$1.46B$1.22B$1.07B$1.13B$1.19B$1.03B$1.04B$990.7M$851.9M$503.2M
Net Income$-99.9M$-99.9M$129.9M$92.9M$168.6M$73.7M$48.1M$37.6M$52.2M$28.2M$24.2M$40.0M$45.4M$50.6M$47.7M$51.4M$45.7M$4.9M
EBITDA$95.3M$95.3M$332.4M$225.5M$318.4M$170.5M$154.5M$140.1M$138.2M$72.2M$83.3M$108.3M$113.9M$104.2M$87.4M$83.8M$70.0M$19.4M
EPS-3.79-3.794.933.536.372.741.781.341.840.990.851.371.511.681.591.711.500.31
Gross Margin10.4%10.4%17.2%15.3%17.5%—————————————
Operating Margin3.9%3.9%11.2%8.8%11.9%5.9%5.8%4.3%5.7%2.1%4.3%6.5%6.8%8.2%6.7%6.7%6.2%1.8%
Net Margin-6.4%-6.4%7.0%5.6%8.4%4.2%3.5%2.5%3.6%2.3%2.3%3.5%3.8%4.9%4.6%5.2%5.4%1.0%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.801.801.300.891.081.211.671.941.671.231.541.311.652.202.540.70——
Current Ratio1.131.13————————————————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-41.1M$-41.1M$-139.2M$-30.3M$96.3M$44.4M$8.6M$48.3M$28.3M$20.5M$-28.7M——$40.6M$40.8M$49.1M$34.0M$655000.00
Returns
ROE-18.5%-18.5%20.1%17.5%37.7%24.4%20.1%18.3%24.9%16.7%16.4%30.5%33.1%47.9%83.1%54.2%54.2%7.8%
Valuation
P/E——8.957.915.44—————————————
EV/EBITDA14.4014.405.965.314.26—————————————
P/B0.790.791.801.382.05—————————————
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-15.6%-15.6%11.1%-17.5%—25.9%-8.0%3.4%20.1%13.4%-5.0%-5.3%15.3%-0.3%4.7%16.3%69.3%—
EPS Growth-176.9%-176.9%39.7%-44.6%—53.9%32.8%-27.2%85.9%16.5%-38.0%-9.3%-10.1%5.7%-7.0%14.0%383.9%—
Dividend Yield2.6%2.6%————————————————

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -30.1%

Total return

-30.1%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

4.93 → -3.79

Residual

-32.7%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+2.6%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-32.7%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.