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ULTJ.JK$1500.00-1.32%
Fair $1500.00+0.0%

ULTJ.JK

PT Ultrajaya Milk Industry & Trading Company Tbk

Consumer Defensive / Beverages - Non-AlcoholicJakarta

$1500.00

-20.00 (-1.32%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1500.00Fund rank 34/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 60/B
F-Score: 3/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 25% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $1.2T · quality 68.3/100

Data gap 34/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 60/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

60/100

B

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · ULTJ.JKLocal privado en este navegador · PT Ultrajaya Milk Industry & Trading Company Tbk
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$15.60T

P/E

10.5x

↓

EV/EBITDA

7.0x

↓

ROE

16.5%

↑

Gross Margin

32.7%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.01

↓
52-Week Range$1500
$1215$1725

TradingView lightweight chart

ULTJ.JK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1,500Periodo +2300.0%
Fair value: $1,500

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+4.6%

FCF CAGR

+1064.5%

FCF margin

14.4%

FCF / Net income

0.93x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $8.77T · net income $1.35T · FCF $1.26T

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

32.7%+0.6% pts

Operating margin

18.0%+1.4% pts

Net margin

15.4%+2.9% pts

FCF margin

14.4%+14.4% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$8767.85B$8767.85B$8874.20B$8302.74B$7656.25B
Net Income$1353.30B$1353.30B$1136.62B$1169.21B$960.79B
EBITDA$1778.20B$1778.20B$1535.09B$1581.77B$1441.49B
EPS130.00130.00109.00112.0092.00
Gross Margin32.7%32.7%34.1%32.4%32.1%
Operating Margin18.0%18.0%15.3%17.5%16.6%
Net Margin15.4%15.4%12.8%14.1%12.5%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.010.010.010.000.11
Current Ratio5.785.78———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$1261.70B$1261.70B$1004.05B$1153.60B$799.0M
Returns
ROE16.5%16.5%15.5%17.7%16.7%
Valuation
P/E10.4910.4916.5115.5815.65
EV/EBITDA7.027.0210.6310.129.94
P/B1.901.902.552.752.61
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-1.2%-1.2%6.9%8.4%—
EPS Growth19.3%19.3%-2.7%21.7%—
Dividend Yield8.6%8.6%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

0.8%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$133.10

Spread vs growth

18.5%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

4.4%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$161.05

Spread vs growth

14.9%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

7.2%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$259.37

Spread vs growth

12.1%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +18.8%

Total return

+18.8%

Start / end P/E

12.5x → 11.5x

EPS bridge

109.00 → 130.00

Residual

-1.4%

EPS growth+19.3%
Multiple rerating-7.5%
Dividend+8.6%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-1.4%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.