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UMI-R.BK$0.90+0.00%
Fair $0.90+0.0%

UMI-R.BK

The Union Mosaic Industry Public Company Limited

Industrials / Building Products & EquipmentThailand

$0.90

+0.00 (+0.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $0.90Fund rank 34/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 43/C
F-Score: 7/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 25% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $193.2M · quality 67.7/100

Data gap 34/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 60/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

43/100

C

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years ROE is 4.8%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · UMI-R.BKLocal privado en este navegador · The Union Mosaic Industry Public Company Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$753M

P/E

2.0x

↓

EV/EBITDA

5.4x

↓

ROE

4.8%

↓

Gross Margin

27.8%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.33

↑
52-Week Range$1
$1$1

TradingView lightweight chart

UMI-R.BK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $0.690Periodo -13.8%
Fair value: $0.900

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-2.6%

FCF CAGR

+65.0%

FCF margin

7.9%

FCF / Net income

2.38x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $2.45B · net income $81.2M · FCF $193.2M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

27.8%+9.1% pts

Operating margin

4.6%-7.6% pts

Net margin

3.3%-1.2% pts

FCF margin

7.9%+6.3% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$2.45B$2.45B$2.57B$2.73B$2.66B
Net Income$81.2M$81.2M$51.7M$-15.6M$119.1M
EBITDA$202.7M$202.7M$227.4M$195.5M$488.3M
EPS0.100.100.06-0.020.14
Gross Margin27.8%27.8%26.3%22.9%18.7%
Operating Margin4.6%4.6%3.7%1.5%12.2%
Net Margin3.3%3.3%2.0%-0.6%4.5%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.330.330.340.390.48
Current Ratio2.832.83———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$193.2M$193.2M$229.0M$86.9M$43.0M
Returns
ROE4.8%4.8%3.5%-1.1%9.4%
Valuation
P/E2.002.0010.48—10.79
EV/EBITDA5.385.383.777.913.71
P/B0.450.450.370.731.01
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-4.5%-4.5%-5.8%2.6%—
EPS Growth56.5%56.5%426.3%-113.4%—
Dividend Yield5.8%5.8%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-6.3%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.08

Spread vs growth

62.7%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-0.1%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.10

Spread vs growth

56.5%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

4.8%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.16

Spread vs growth

51.6%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +3.1%

Total return

+3.1%

Start / end P/E

11.4x → 7.1x

EPS bridge

0.06 → 0.10

Residual

-21.3%

EPS growth+56.5%
Multiple rerating-37.8%
Dividend+5.8%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-21.3%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.