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UP-R.BK$23.30+0.00%
Fair $23.30+0.0%

UP-R.BK

Union Plastic Public Company Limited

Consumer Cyclical / Auto PartsThailand

$23.30

+0.00 (+0.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $23.30Fund rank 27/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 58/C
F-Score: 4/9
Declining Revenue

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $24.4M · quality 47.0/100

Data gap 27/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 17/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

58/100

C

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · UP-R.BKLocal privado en este navegador · Union Plastic Public Company Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$582M

P/E

9.0x

↓

EV/EBITDA

4.6x

↓

ROE

10.2%

↑

Gross Margin

7.4%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.00

↓
52-Week Range$23
$20$27

TradingView lightweight chart

UP-R.BK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $27.00Periodo +50.8%
Fair value: $23.30

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+0.2%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-0.9%

FCF / Net income

-0.09x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $604.2M · net income $63.1M · FCF $-5.4M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

7.4%+1.7% pts

Operating margin

-1.3%+1.3% pts

Net margin

10.4%+5.8% pts

FCF margin

-0.9%+3.1% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$604.2M$604.2M$622.9M$657.8M$601.3M
Net Income$63.1M$63.1M$50.1M$44.5M$28.0M
EBITDA$103.2M$103.2M$96.0M$89.6M$66.3M
EPS——2.001.781.12
Gross Margin7.4%7.4%6.7%7.2%5.8%
Operating Margin-1.3%-1.3%-1.7%-0.9%-2.5%
Net Margin10.4%10.4%8.0%6.8%4.7%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.000.000.000.000.00
Current Ratio5.715.71———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-5.4M$-5.4M$24.4M$32.8M$-23.9M
Returns
ROE10.2%10.2%8.2%7.6%5.2%
Valuation
P/E9.039.038.4811.8018.75
EV/EBITDA4.584.583.254.787.47
P/B0.940.940.690.890.98
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-3.0%-3.0%-5.3%9.4%—
EPS Growth——12.6%58.9%—
Dividend Yield9.3%9.3%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +46.3%

Total return

+46.3%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

2.00 → n/d

Residual

+37.1%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+9.3%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+37.1%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.