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Financial Analysis

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Recent

v0.1
UTG.ST$21.30-2.74%
Fair $21.30+0.0%

UTG.ST

Unlimited Travel Group UTG AB (publ)

Consumer Cyclical / LeisureStockholm

$21.30

-0.60 (-2.74%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $21.30Fund rank 31/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 52/C
F-Score: 3/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 25% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $19.1M · quality 52.0/100

Data gap 31/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 62/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

52/100

C

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · UTG.STLocal privado en este navegador · Unlimited Travel Group UTG AB (publ)
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$249M

P/E

11.6x

↓

EV/EBITDA

5.1x

↓

ROE

46.3%

↑

Gross Margin

23.1%

↓

Debt/Equity

1.41

↑
52-Week Range$21
$15$27

TradingView lightweight chart

UTG.ST price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $21.30Periodo +145.8%
Fair value: $21.30

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+11.3%

FCF CAGR

-20.0%

FCF margin

1.6%

FCF / Net income

0.77x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $962.6M · net income $20.5M · FCF $15.8M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

23.1%+1.6% pts

Operating margin

3.5%-0.6% pts

Net margin

2.1%-0.7% pts

FCF margin

1.6%-2.8% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$962.6M$962.6M$850.7M$737.5M$697.8M
Net Income$20.5M$20.5M$23.0M$13.0M$20.1M
EBITDA$53.2M$53.2M$51.5M$34.8M$41.4M
EPS1.751.751.971.111.72
Gross Margin23.1%23.1%21.8%21.2%21.5%
Operating Margin3.5%3.5%4.0%2.6%4.2%
Net Margin2.1%2.1%2.7%1.8%2.9%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.411.411.371.291.85
Current Ratio0.790.79———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$15.8M$15.8M$73.5M$19.1M$30.8M
Returns
ROE46.3%46.3%72.3%36.9%87.9%
Valuation
P/E11.5811.587.187.375.99
EV/EBITDA5.105.102.853.423.43
P/B5.635.635.212.725.27
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth13.2%13.2%15.3%5.7%—
EPS Growth-11.2%-11.2%77.5%-35.5%—
Dividend Yield1.8%1.8%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

2.6%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$1.89

Spread vs growth

-13.8%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

5.5%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$2.29

Spread vs growth

-16.7%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

7.7%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$3.68

Spread vs growth

-18.9%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +27.5%

Total return

+27.5%

Start / end P/E

8.6x → 12.2x

EPS bridge

1.97 → 1.75

Residual

-4.6%

EPS growth-11.2%
Multiple rerating+41.5%
Dividend+1.8%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-4.6%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.