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VIVA.ST$30.00+1.63%
Fair $30.00+0.0%

VIVA.ST

Viva Wine Group AB

Consumer Defensive / Beverages - Wineries & DistilleriesStockholm

$30.00

+0.50 (+1.63%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $30.00Fund rank 36/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 45/C
F-Score: 3/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 23% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $241.0M · quality 73.7/100

Data gap 36/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 85/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

45/100

C

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · VIVA.STLocal privado en este navegador · Viva Wine Group AB
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$2.7B

P/E

12.7x

↓

EV/EBITDA

8.3x

↓

ROE

12.8%

↑

Gross Margin

19.7%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.78

↑
52-Week Range$30
$30$44

TradingView lightweight chart

VIVA.ST price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $31.10Periodo -44.5%
Fair value: $30.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+12.8%

FCF CAGR

+3.9%

FCF margin

5.7%

FCF / Net income

1.52x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $5.50B · net income $207.0M · FCF $315.0M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

19.7%-3.0% pts

Operating margin

5.2%-0.8% pts

Net margin

3.8%-2.9% pts

FCF margin

5.7%-1.6% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$5.50B$5.50B$4.21B$3.98B$3.83B
Net Income$207.0M$207.0M$170.0M$106.0M$254.0M
EBITDA$463.0M$463.0M$396.0M$280.0M$521.0M
EPS——1.921.192.86
Gross Margin19.7%19.7%20.3%19.5%22.7%
Operating Margin5.2%5.2%6.0%3.9%6.1%
Net Margin3.8%3.8%4.0%2.7%6.6%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.780.780.320.380.47
Current Ratio1.101.10———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$315.0M$315.0M$241.0M$180.0M$281.0M
Returns
ROE12.8%12.8%10.3%6.4%14.4%
Valuation
P/E12.6612.6620.0533.5316.05
EV/EBITDA8.358.359.8814.538.77
P/B1.661.662.072.152.30
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth30.5%30.5%5.8%4.1%—
EPS Growth——61.3%-58.4%—
Dividend Yield5.1%5.1%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -20.8%

Total return

-20.8%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

1.92 → n/d

Residual

-26.0%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+5.1%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-26.0%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.