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VIVA3.SA$21.42-0.60%
Fair $21.42+0.0%

VIVA3.SA

Vivara Participações S.A.

Consumer Cyclical / Luxury GoodsSão Paulo

$21.42

-0.13 (-0.60%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $21.42Fund rank 28/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 51/C
F-Score: 3/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 32% · confianza 22%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $174.9M · quality 44.0/100

Data gap 28/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 28/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

51/100

C

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · VIVA3.SALocal privado en este navegador · Vivara Participações S.A.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$5.0B

P/E

8.6x

↓

EV/EBITDA

6.5x

↓

ROE

21.0%

↑

Gross Margin

65.8%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.42

↓
52-Week Range$21
$21$37

TradingView lightweight chart

VIVA3.SA price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $21.42Periodo -9.7%
Fair value: $21.42

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+13.5%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

17.0%

FCF / Net income

0.74x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $2.69B · net income $619.5M · FCF $458.3M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

65.8%-3.1% pts

Operating margin

27.0%+6.6% pts

Net margin

23.0%+3.4% pts

FCF margin

17.0%+21.1% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$2.69B$2.69B$2.31B$2.19B$1.84B
Net Income$619.5M$619.5M$653.4M$381.1M$360.9M
EBITDA$897.5M$897.5M$887.2M$615.4M$522.5M
EPS2.632.632.781.621.53
Gross Margin65.8%65.8%66.7%69.3%68.9%
Operating Margin27.0%27.0%29.6%20.6%20.4%
Net Margin23.0%23.0%28.3%17.4%19.6%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.420.420.390.390.43
Current Ratio4.144.14———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$458.3M$458.3M$129.1M$174.9M$-74.4M
Returns
ROE21.0%21.0%26.2%19.0%21.8%
Valuation
P/E8.608.606.5120.8113.77
EV/EBITDA6.546.545.5813.8110.58
P/B1.711.711.703.953.00
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth16.8%16.8%5.4%18.6%—
EPS Growth-5.2%-5.2%71.7%5.9%—
Dividend Yield6.3%6.3%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-10.3%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$1.90

Spread vs growth

5.1%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-2.7%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$2.30

Spread vs growth

-2.5%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

3.5%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$3.70

Spread vs growth

-8.7%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -11.3%

Total return

-11.3%

Start / end P/E

9.4x → 8.1x

EPS bridge

2.78 → 2.63

Residual

+0.7%

EPS growth-5.2%
Multiple rerating-13.1%
Dividend+6.3%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+0.7%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.