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VKING.IS$25.60+1.43%
Fair $25.60+0.0%

VKING.IS

Viking Kagit ve Selüloz A.S.

Consumer Defensive / Household & Personal ProductsIstanbulTR

$25.60

+0.36 (+1.43%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $25.60Fund rank 22/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 9/F
F-Score: 2/9
High DebtDeclining RevenueMargin CompressionLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 14%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-499.1M · quality 39.7/100

Data gap 22/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 34/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

9/100

F

Piotroski

2/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 4unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Debt-to-Equity ratio is 47.54, above the 2.0 threshold Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · VKING.ISLocal privado en este navegador · Viking Kagit ve Selüloz A.S.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$1.1B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

7.8x

↓

ROE

-1634.4%

↓

Gross Margin

5.4%

↓

Debt/Equity

47.54

↑
52-Week Range$26
$23$49

TradingView lightweight chart

VKING.IS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $25.60Periodo +3544.0%
Fair value: $25.60

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-19.8%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-47.6%

FCF / Net income

0.37x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $760.2M · net income $-982.8M · FCF $-361.8M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

5.4%-0.6% pts

Operating margin

-35.5%-29.3% pts

Net margin

-129.3%-131.2% pts

FCF margin

-47.6%-38.6% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$760.2M$760.2M$1.06B$1.34B$1.47B
Net Income$-982.8M$-982.8M$-635.3M$-59.0M$27.9M
EBITDA$501.5M$501.5M$530.8M$288.3M$259.5M
EPS-23.40-23.40-15.13-1.400.66
Gross Margin5.4%5.4%10.9%5.0%6.0%
Operating Margin-35.5%-35.5%-20.9%-13.9%-6.2%
Net Margin-129.3%-129.3%-59.9%-4.4%1.9%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity47.5447.5453.273.632.68
Current Ratio0.100.10———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-361.8M$-361.8M$-562.0M$-499.1M$-132.0M
Returns
ROE-1634.4%-1634.4%-1319.3%-16.2%8.7%
Valuation
P/E————54.27
EV/EBITDA7.797.797.098.868.61
P/B17.8817.8828.443.494.73
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-28.3%-28.3%-20.7%-9.2%—
EPS Growth-54.7%-54.7%-977.2%-311.7%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -3.7%

Total return

-3.7%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-15.13 → -23.40

Residual

-3.7%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-3.7%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.