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Financial Analysis

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v0.1
VLC.MI$2.20+0.00%
Fair $2.20+0.0%

VLC.MI

Valica S.p.A.

Communication Services / Advertising AgenciesMilan

$2.20

+0.00 (+0.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $2.20Fund rank 28/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 19/F
F-Score: 2/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 19%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-1.2M · quality 50.3/100

Data gap 28/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 27/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

19/100

F

Piotroski

2/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is -21.2%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · VLC.MILocal privado en este navegador · Valica S.p.A.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$6M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

18.4x

↑

ROE

-21.2%

↓

Gross Margin

96.2%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.93

↑
52-Week Range$2
$1$5

TradingView lightweight chart

VLC.MI price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $2.200Periodo -68.6%
Fair value: $2.200

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+48.3%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-14.4%

FCF / Net income

1.90x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $8.6M · net income $-653046.0 · FCF $-1.2M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

96.2%+4.2% pts

Operating margin

-5.5%-2.3% pts

Net margin

-7.6%-0.6% pts

FCF margin

-14.4%+73.4% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$8.6M$8.6M$6.7M$4.9M$2.6M
Net Income$-653046.00$-653046.00$356436.00$-40380.00$-183394.00
EBITDA$436074.00$436074.00$1.4M$632959.00$242183.00
EPS-0.27-0.27—-0.02-0.08
Gross Margin96.2%96.2%97.2%96.4%92.1%
Operating Margin-5.5%-5.5%9.2%3.3%-3.1%
Net Margin-7.6%-7.6%5.3%-0.8%-7.0%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.930.930.430.411.45
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-1.2M$-1.2M$-565957.00$-1.2M$-2.3M
Returns
ROE-21.2%-21.2%9.0%-1.3%-19.4%
Valuation
EV/EBITDA18.3818.388.8825.81—
P/B1.741.742.855.16—
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth28.9%28.9%37.0%84.7%—
EPS Growth———77.8%—
Dividend Yield0.4%0.4%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -50.2%

Total return

-50.2%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

n/d → -0.27

Residual

-50.7%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.4%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-50.7%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.