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VLID3.SA$17.60-0.17%
Fair $17.60+0.0%

VLID3.SA

Valid Soluções S.A.

Industrials / Specialty Business ServicesSão Paulo

$17.60

-0.03 (-0.17%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $17.60Fund rank 37/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 42/C
F-Score: 3/9
Declining Revenue

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 24% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $359.0M · quality 77.7/100

Data gap 37/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 80/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

42/100

C

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · VLID3.SALocal privado en este navegador · Valid Soluções S.A.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$1.4B

P/E

5.7x

↓

EV/EBITDA

3.4x

↓

ROE

15.3%

↑

Gross Margin

33.7%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.46

↑
52-Week Range$18
$17$28

TradingView lightweight chart

VLID3.SA price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $17.60Periodo +20.2%
Fair value: $17.60

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+3.1%

FCF CAGR

-11.6%

FCF margin

15.2%

FCF / Net income

1.20x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $2.06B · net income $261.3M · FCF $313.2M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

33.7%-1.9% pts

Operating margin

15.8%-3.8% pts

Net margin

12.7%+11.4% pts

FCF margin

15.2%-8.9% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$2.06B$2.06B$2.17B$2.26B$1.88B
Net Income$261.3M$261.3M$380.9M$213.3M$24.5M
EBITDA$433.3M$433.3M$616.4M$497.2M$418.1M
EPS3.323.324.702.670.31
Gross Margin33.7%33.7%35.8%36.5%35.6%
Operating Margin15.8%15.8%17.4%19.9%19.6%
Net Margin12.7%12.7%17.5%9.5%1.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.460.460.330.550.70
Current Ratio2.322.32———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$313.2M$313.2M$359.0M$598.0M$453.4M
Returns
ROE15.3%15.3%21.2%16.4%2.0%
Valuation
P/E5.685.685.327.7929.66
EV/EBITDA3.393.393.293.922.94
P/B0.810.811.111.280.59
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-5.0%-5.0%-3.7%20.0%—
EPS Growth-29.3%-29.3%76.3%766.8%—
Dividend Yield9.6%9.6%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-22.2%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$1.56

Spread vs growth

-7.1%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-10.7%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$1.89

Spread vs growth

-18.6%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

-0.9%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$3.04

Spread vs growth

-28.4%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -25.4%

Total return

-25.4%

Start / end P/E

5.8x → 5.3x

EPS bridge

4.70 → 3.32

Residual

+2.4%

EPS growth-29.3%
Multiple rerating-8.1%
Dividend+9.6%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+2.4%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.