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v0.1
VMI$528.74+1.72%
Fair $528.74+0.0%

VMI

Valmont Industries, Inc.

Industrials / ConglomeratesNYSE

$528.74

+8.93 (+1.72%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $528.74Fund rank 31/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 49/C
F-Score: 3/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 31% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $311.4M · quality 60.0/100

Data gap 31/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 43/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

49/100

C

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

20/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 18Warnings: 0unknown: 18
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists.
Thesis & Journal · VMILocal privado en este navegador · Valmont Industries, Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$10.3B

P/E

29.4x

↑

EV/EBITDA

22.3x

↑

ROE

20.5%

↑

Gross Margin

30.2%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.57

↑
52-Week Range$529
$310$535

TradingView lightweight chart

VMI price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $528.74Periodo +3080.4%
Fair value: $528.74

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2008–2025 · 17 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+4.6%

FCF CAGR

+35.9%

FCF margin

7.6%

FCF / Net income

0.93x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $4.10B · net income $334.8M · FCF $311.4M

2008-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

30.2%+3.4% pts

Operating margin

12.7%+0.7% pts

Net margin

8.2%+1.2% pts

FCF margin

7.6%+7.5% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
2008
Income Statement
Revenue$4.10B$4.10B$4.08B$4.17B$4.35B$3.50B$2.90B$2.77B$2.76B$2.75B$2.52B$2.62B$3.12B$3.30B$3.03B$2.66B$1.98B$1.79B$1.91B
Net Income$334.8M$334.8M$348.3M$143.5M$250.9M$195.6M$142.1M$152.1M$107.7M$122.3M$178.4M$45.3M$189.3M$280.5M$238.9M$237.2M$94.4M$150.6M$132.4M
EBITDA$506.7M$506.7M$622.8M$392.0M$508.6M$379.4M$308.8M$310.2M$295.0M$352.0M$327.8M$222.8M$447.0M$550.5M$452.5M$337.9M$238.1M$282.7M$268.2M
EPS16.7916.7917.196.7811.629.106.576.734.535.117.631.717.0910.358.758.603.575.735.04
Gross Margin30.2%30.2%30.5%29.6%25.9%25.2%26.4%24.7%24.2%24.8%26.0%23.7%25.9%28.6%26.5%25.1%26.3%29.8%26.8%
Operating Margin12.7%12.7%12.9%11.2%10.0%8.2%7.8%8.2%7.7%9.7%9.7%5.0%11.5%14.3%12.6%9.9%9.0%13.3%12.0%
Net Margin8.2%8.2%8.5%3.4%5.8%5.6%4.9%5.5%3.9%4.5%7.1%1.7%6.1%8.5%7.9%8.9%4.8%8.4%6.9%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.570.570.560.940.650.680.620.670.700.680.800.820.640.310.350.410.510.20—
Current Ratio2.382.38—————————————————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$311.4M$311.4M$493.2M$210.0M$233.0M$-41.9M$209.6M$210.2M$81.0M$77.9M$174.9M$226.8M$101.1M$289.7M$100.0M$66.6M$116.1M$305.4M$1.7M
Returns
ROE20.5%20.5%22.6%10.6%15.9%14.1%12.0%13.3%10.2%11.0%18.9%4.9%15.8%18.4%17.7%20.7%10.3%19.1%—
Valuation
P/E29.4129.4118.0233.8628.04——————————————
EV/EBITDA22.2622.2611.2115.1315.49——————————————
P/B6.466.464.073.594.45——————————————
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth0.7%0.7%-2.4%-3.9%—20.9%4.6%0.4%0.4%8.9%-3.7%-16.1%-5.5%9.1%13.8%34.7%10.6%-6.3%—
EPS Growth-2.3%-2.3%153.5%-41.7%—38.5%-2.4%48.6%-11.4%-33.0%346.2%-75.9%-31.5%18.3%1.7%140.9%-37.7%13.7%—
Dividend Yield0.5%0.5%—————————————————

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

40.9%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$46.92

Spread vs growth

-43.2%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

27.6%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$56.77

Spread vs growth

-29.9%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

18.5%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$91.43

Spread vs growth

-20.8%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +66.8%

Total return

+66.8%

Start / end P/E

18.5x → 31.5x

EPS bridge

17.19 → 16.79

Residual

-1.6%

EPS growth-2.3%
Multiple rerating+70.2%
Dividend+0.5%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-1.6%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.