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v0.1
VNCE$4.50+2.04%
Fair $4.50+0.0%

VNCE

Vince Holding Corp.

Consumer Cyclical / Apparel ManufacturingNasdaqCM

$4.50

+0.09 (+2.04%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $4.50Fund rank 19/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 35/D
F-Score: 7/9
High Debt

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $180000.00 · quality 20.3/100

Data gap 19/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 14/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

35/100

D

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

20/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 15Warnings: 1unknown: 15
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists. Debt-to-Equity ratio is 2.44, above the 2.0 threshold
Thesis & Journal · VNCELocal privado en este navegador · Vince Holding Corp.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$58M

P/E

9.2x

↓

EV/EBITDA

13.2x

↑

ROE

12.7%

↑

Gross Margin

49.7%

↑

Debt/Equity

2.44

↑
52-Week Range$5
$1$6

TradingView lightweight chart

VNCE price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $4.500Periodo -98.4%
Fair value: $4.500

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2012–2026 · 14 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

—

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-0.4%

FCF / Net income

-0.20x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $300.0M · net income $6.4M · FCF $-1.3M

2012-FY → 2026-FY

Gross margin

49.7%— pts

Operating margin

3.1%— pts

Net margin

2.1%— pts

FCF margin

-0.4%— pts
MetricTTM
2026
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
Income Statement
Revenue$300.0M$300.0M$293.5M$292.9M$357.4M$322.7M$219.9M$375.2M$361.7M$272.6M$268.2M—————
Net Income$6.4M$6.4M$-19.0M$25.4M$-38.3M$-12.7M$-65.6M$30.4M$-2.0M$58.6M$-162.7M$5.1M$35.7M$-27.4M$-107.7M$-147.9M
EBITDA$13.7M$13.7M$-12.8M$36.6M$-17.1M$7.0M$-54.2M$-10.8M$16.7M$-8.2M$-56.0M$24.1M$75.5M$52.1M$42.9M—
EPS0.490.49-1.512.04-3.14-1.07-5.582.55-0.177.70-35.041.369.30-9.80-41.10-56.40
Gross Margin49.7%49.7%49.5%45.5%38.6%45.4%40.3%47.6%46.8%44.7%45.8%—————
Operating Margin3.1%3.1%2.4%-0.4%-6.6%0.1%-27.8%-5.4%1.5%-6.7%-24.1%—————
Net Margin2.1%2.1%-6.5%8.7%-10.7%-3.9%-29.9%8.1%-0.5%21.5%-60.6%—————
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity2.442.442.932.7210.101.591.280.370.430.41-3.450.731.175.07-0.70—
Current Ratio1.491.49——————————————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-1.3M$-1.3M$17.8M$180000.00$-22.0M———————————
Returns
ROE12.7%12.7%-45.6%54.0%-189.3%-22.8%-99.2%23.2%-2.0%58.7%1163.4%6.5%49.6%-81.7%19.2%19.9%
Valuation
P/E9.189.18—1.67————————————
EV/EBITDA13.1913.19—4.67————————————
P/B1.171.171.020.904.25———————————
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth2.2%2.2%0.2%-18.1%—46.8%-41.4%3.7%32.7%1.6%——————
EPS Growth132.5%132.5%-174.0%165.0%—80.8%-318.8%1600.0%-102.2%122.0%-2676.5%-85.4%194.9%76.2%27.1%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-6.6%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.40

Spread vs growth

139.0%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-0.3%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.48

Spread vs growth

132.7%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

4.7%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.78

Spread vs growth

127.7%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +212.5%

Total return

+212.5%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-1.51 → 0.49

Residual

+212.5%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+212.5%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.