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VPLAY-A.ST$3.48+1.82%
Fair $3.48+0.0%

VPLAY-A.ST

Viaplay Group AB (publ)

Communication Services / EntertainmentStockholm

$3.48

+0.06 (+1.82%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $3.48Fund rank 21/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 31/D
F-Score: 1/9
High DebtDeclining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 16%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-2.3B · quality 45.7/100

Data gap 21/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 30/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

31/100

D

Piotroski

1/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 3unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Debt-to-Equity ratio is 2.95, above the 2.0 threshold Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years ROE is -55.3%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · VPLAY-A.STLocal privado en este navegador · Viaplay Group AB (publ)
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$15.8B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-55.3%

↓

Gross Margin

13.7%

↓

Debt/Equity

2.95

↑
52-Week Range$3
$1$3

TradingView lightweight chart

VPLAY-A.ST price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $3.360Periodo -98.6%
Fair value: $3.480

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+4.1%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-13.2%

FCF / Net income

1.85x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $17.68B · net income $-1.27B · FCF $-2.34B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

13.7%-3.2% pts

Operating margin

-0.2%+2.8% pts

Net margin

-7.2%-9.2% pts

FCF margin

-13.2%+7.1% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$17.68B$17.68B$18.49B$18.57B$15.69B
Net Income$-1.27B$-1.27B$106.0M$-9.75B$323.0M
EBITDA$-352.0M$-352.0M$804.0M$-9.90B$730.0M
EPS-0.28-0.280.03-124.614.13
Gross Margin13.7%13.7%11.0%7.0%16.8%
Operating Margin-0.2%-0.2%-1.6%-7.1%-3.0%
Net Margin-7.2%-7.2%0.6%-52.5%2.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity2.952.950.66-7.020.50
Current Ratio1.241.24———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-2.34B$-2.34B$-2.04B$-3.51B$-3.19B
Returns
ROE-55.3%-55.3%2.9%894.2%3.6%
Valuation
P/E——46.00—51.57
EV/EBITDA——8.79—25.07
P/B6.926.921.54—1.87
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-4.4%-4.4%-0.4%18.3%—
EPS Growth-1033.3%-1033.3%100.0%-3117.2%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +173.2%

Total return

+173.2%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.03 → -0.28

Residual

+173.2%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+173.2%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.