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WLFC$170.06-0.85%
Fair $170.06+0.0%

WLFC

Willis Lease Finance Corporation

Industrials / Rental & Leasing ServicesNasdaqGM

$170.06

-1.46 (-0.85%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $170.06Fund rank 16/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 44/C
F-Score: 6/9
High Debt

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 17%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-272.4M · quality 13.7/100

Data gap 16/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 0/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

44/100

C

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

20/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 17Warnings: 1unknown: 17
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Debt-to-Equity ratio is 4.08, above the 2.0 threshold
Thesis & Journal · WLFCLocal privado en este navegador · Willis Lease Finance Corporation
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$1.4B

P/E

10.3x

↓

EV/EBITDA

9.6x

↓

ROE

17.2%

↑

Gross Margin

68.3%

↑

Debt/Equity

4.08

↑
52-Week Range$170
$114$239

TradingView lightweight chart

WLFC price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $170.07Periodo +2467.0%
Fair value: $170.06

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2009–2025 · 16 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+10.4%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-37.3%

FCF / Net income

-2.39x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $730.2M · net income $113.8M · FCF $-272.4M

2009-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

68.3%— pts

Operating margin

37.3%+16.4% pts

Net margin

15.6%+0.7% pts

FCF margin

-37.3%-95.8% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
Income Statement
Revenue$730.2M$730.2M$569.2M$418.6M$311.9M$274.2M$288.7M$409.2M$348.3M$274.8M$207.3M$198.1M$174.1M$158.4M$148.1M$156.7M$148.3M$150.4M
Net Income$113.8M$113.8M$108.6M$43.8M$5.4M$3.4M$9.7M$66.9M$43.2M$62.2M$14.1M$6.5M$7.2M$15.6M$1.5M$14.5M$12.1M$22.4M
EBITDA$405.7M$405.7M$352.6M$236.8M$164.8M$98.8M$109.2M$166.5M$129.3M$94.9M$88.4M$81.0M$75.7M$66.5M$53.5M$73.8M——
EPS15.3915.3915.346.230.330.001.0510.506.609.692.050.810.881.89-0.431.280.962.14
Gross Margin68.3%68.3%75.4%69.6%65.0%—————————————
Operating Margin37.3%37.3%45.7%35.2%30.7%3.0%5.1%19.6%15.1%10.5%10.7%5.9%6.0%4.9%0.6%14.4%12.5%20.9%
Net Margin15.6%15.6%19.1%10.5%1.7%1.2%3.4%16.4%12.4%22.6%6.8%3.3%4.1%9.9%1.0%9.3%8.1%14.9%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity4.084.084.124.114.564.764.653.574.664.194.594.143.883.713.503.04——
Current Ratio1.501.50————————————————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-272.4M$-272.4M$-561.7M$61.0M$-148.6M$88.5M$90.5M$224.0M$185.2M$126.3M$90.6M$93.8M———$75.8M$56.2M$88.0M
Returns
ROE17.2%17.2%19.8%10.0%1.3%0.9%2.7%19.1%15.1%24.0%7.2%3.1%3.3%7.4%0.8%6.1%5.3%10.1%
Valuation
P/E10.2810.2814.187.59189.45—————————————
EV/EBITDA9.569.5610.598.8813.52—————————————
P/B1.801.802.690.700.97—————————————
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth28.3%28.3%36.0%34.2%—-5.0%-29.4%17.5%26.7%32.6%4.7%13.8%9.9%7.0%-5.5%5.6%-1.4%—
EPS Growth0.3%0.3%146.2%1787.9%—-100.0%-90.0%59.1%-31.9%372.7%153.1%-8.0%-53.4%539.5%-133.6%33.3%-55.1%—
Dividend Yield0.9%0.9%————————————————

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-0.7%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$15.09

Spread vs growth

1.0%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

3.5%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$18.26

Spread vs growth

-3.2%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

6.7%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$29.41

Spread vs growth

-6.4%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +27.4%

Total return

+27.4%

Start / end P/E

8.8x → 11.1x

EPS bridge

15.34 → 15.39

Residual

+0.1%

EPS growth+0.3%
Multiple rerating+26.0%
Dividend+0.9%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+0.1%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.