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WTN.AX$2.27+0.00%
Fair $2.27+0.0%

WTN.AX

Winton Land Limited

Real Estate / Real Estate - DevelopmentASX

$2.27

+0.00 (+0.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $2.27Fund rank 29/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 37/D
F-Score: 1/9
Low Profitability

Book/ROE base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · P/B n/d

Book/ROE base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 100% · confianza 20%

Book/ROE escenarios

weak_data · book/share n/d · quality 28.0/100

Data gap 29/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 35/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

37/100

D

Piotroski

1/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific NAV/AFFO model required: REIT/real-estate targets are disabled until FFO/AFFO/NAV/cap-rate data exists. REIT NAV/AFFO valuation requires positive AFFO/share history or TTM AFFO/share; generic FCF remains disabled. ROE is 3.0%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · WTN.AXLocal privado en este navegador · Winton Land Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$673M

P/E

75.7x

↑

EV/EBITDA

22.2x

↑

ROE

3.0%

↓

Gross Margin

35.2%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.16

↓
52-Week Range$2
$2$2

TradingView lightweight chart

WTN.AX price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $2.270Periodo -39.6%
Fair value: $2.270

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2021–2024 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

—

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-17.2%

FCF / Net income

-1.77x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $162.1M · net income $15.7M · FCF $-27.9M

2021-FY → 2024-FY

Gross margin

35.2%— pts

Operating margin

10.0%— pts

Net margin

9.7%— pts

FCF margin

-17.2%— pts
MetricTTM
2024
2023
2022
2021
Income Statement
Revenue$162.1M$162.1M$215.1M$159.5M—
Net Income$15.7M$15.7M$64.6M$31.7M—
EBITDA$33.4M$33.4M$98.2M$47.2M—
EPS0.050.050.210.12—
Gross Margin35.2%35.2%51.6%45.0%—
Operating Margin10.0%10.0%37.8%26.4%—
Net Margin9.7%9.7%30.1%19.8%—
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.160.160.020.000.31
Current Ratio1.791.79———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-27.9M$-27.9M$-17.2M$-16.1M—
Returns
ROE3.0%3.0%12.7%7.0%—
Valuation
P/E75.6775.679.0922.55—
EV/EBITDA22.1622.165.3210.80—
P/B1.341.341.151.57—
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-24.6%-24.6%34.8%——
EPS Growth-75.6%-75.6%73.0%——

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

57.9%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.20

Spread vs growth

-133.5%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

36.6%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.24

Spread vs growth

-112.3%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

22.6%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.39

Spread vs growth

-98.2%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +39.3%

Total return

+39.3%

Start / end P/E

7.8x → 44.3x

EPS bridge

0.21 → 0.05

Residual

-356.8%

EPS growth-75.6%
Multiple rerating+471.7%
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-356.8%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.