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Financial Analysis

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Recent

v0.1
XGN$5.35+7.43%
Fair $5.35+0.0%

XGN

Exagen Inc.

Healthcare / Diagnostics & ResearchNasdaqGM

$5.35

+0.37 (+7.43%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $5.35Fund rank 26/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 26/D
F-Score: 2/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-14.3M · quality 51.0/100

Data gap 26/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 33/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

26/100

D

Piotroski

2/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

20/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 8Warnings: 1unknown: 8
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is -1.1%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · XGNLocal privado en este navegador · Exagen Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$129M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-114.3%

↓

Gross Margin

58.3%

↑

Debt/Equity

1.47

↑
52-Week Range$5
$3$12

TradingView lightweight chart

XGN price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $5.350Periodo -68.7%
Fair value: $5.350

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2018–2025 · 7 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+10.8%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-21.4%

FCF / Net income

0.72x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $66.6M · net income $-20.0M · FCF $-14.3M

2018-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

58.3%— pts

Operating margin

-21.1%-6.1% pts

Net margin

-30.0%-5.3% pts

FCF margin

-21.4%+7.9% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
Income Statement
Revenue$66.6M$66.6M$55.6M$52.5M$45.6M$48.3M$42.0M$40.4M$32.4M
Net Income$-20.0M$-20.0M$-15.1M$-23.7M$-47.4M$-26.9M$-16.7M$-12.0M$-8.0M
EBITDA$-13.5M$-13.5M$-11.1M$-19.2M$-43.7M$-23.2M$-14.7M$-8.7M$-4.3M
EPS——-0.83-1.34-2.77-1.68-1.32——
Gross Margin58.3%58.3%59.5%56.1%46.9%————
Operating Margin-21.1%-21.1%-24.5%-43.5%-89.0%-49.8%-36.2%-23.0%-15.0%
Net Margin-30.0%-30.0%-27.2%-45.1%-104.0%-55.6%-39.8%-29.8%-24.7%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.471.472.431.020.830.320.640.46-0.22
Current Ratio3.473.47———————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-14.3M$-14.3M$-13.8M$-15.3M$-36.5M$-22.6M$-14.5M$-10.1M$-9.5M
Returns
ROE-114.3%-114.3%-158.4%-104.4%-111.6%-31.6%-39.9%-21.6%7.2%
Valuation
P/B7.027.026.831.491.00————
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth19.7%19.7%5.9%15.3%—15.1%3.9%24.5%—
EPS Growth——38.1%51.6%—-27.3%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -23.0%

Total return

-23.0%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.83 → n/d

Residual

-23.0%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-23.0%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.