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XOM$149.38+2.84%
Fair $149.38+0.0%

XOM

Exxon Mobil Corporation

Energy / Oil & Gas IntegratedNYSE

$149.38

+4.12 (+2.84%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $149.38Fund rank 36/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 39/D
F-Score: 3/9
Margin Compression

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 23% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $30.7B · quality 79.0/100

Data gap 36/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 72/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

39/100

D

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

20/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 19Warnings: 1unknown: 19
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · XOMLocal privado en este navegador · Exxon Mobil Corporation
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$619.2B

P/E

25.1x

↑

EV/EBITDA

10.0x

↑

ROE

11.1%

↑

Gross Margin

22.0%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.17

↓
52-Week Range$149
$101$176

TradingView lightweight chart

XOM price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $149.38Periodo +281.5%
Fair value: $149.38

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2007–2025 · 18 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

—

FCF CAGR

-2.4%

FCF margin

7.3%

FCF / Net income

0.82x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $323.90B · net income $28.84B · FCF $23.61B

2007-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

22.0%— pts

Operating margin

10.5%— pts

Net margin

8.9%— pts

FCF margin

7.3%— pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
2008
2007
Income Statement
Revenue$323.90B$323.90B$339.25B$334.70B$398.68B$276.69B$178.57B$255.58B$279.33B$237.16B$200.63B$239.85B$394.11B$420.84B$451.51B$467.03B$370.13B$301.50B——
Net Income$28.84B$28.84B$33.68B$36.01B$55.74B$23.04B$-22.44B$14.34B$20.84B$19.71B$7.84B$16.15B$32.52B$32.58B$44.88B$41.06B$30.46B$19.28B$45.22B$40.61B
EBITDA$67.86B$67.86B$73.31B$74.27B$102.59B———————————————
EPS6.706.707.848.8913.265.39-5.253.364.884.631.883.857.607.379.708.426.223.988.667.26
Gross Margin22.0%22.0%22.6%25.1%25.9%———————————————
Operating Margin10.5%10.5%11.7%13.3%16.1%———————————————
Net Margin8.9%8.9%9.9%10.8%14.0%8.3%-12.6%5.6%7.5%8.3%3.9%6.7%8.3%7.7%9.9%8.8%8.2%6.4%——
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.170.170.160.200.21————0.120.170.110.060.040.05—————
Current Ratio1.041.04——————————————————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$23.61B$23.61B$30.72B$33.45B$58.39B$36.05B$-2.61B$5.36B$16.44B$14.66B$5.92B$3.85B——$21.90B$24.37B$21.54B$5.95B$40.41B$36.62B
Returns
ROE11.1%11.1%12.8%17.6%28.6%13.7%-14.3%7.5%10.9%10.5%4.7%9.5%18.6%18.7%27.1%26.6%20.7%17.4%40.0%—
Valuation
P/E25.1125.1113.7611.548.34———————————————
EV/EBITDA9.969.966.585.734.64———————————————
P/B2.482.481.762.032.38———————————————
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-4.5%-4.5%1.4%-16.0%—54.9%-30.1%-8.5%17.8%18.2%-16.4%-39.1%-6.4%-6.8%-3.3%26.2%22.8%———
EPS Growth-14.5%-14.5%-11.8%-33.0%—202.7%-256.3%-31.1%5.4%146.3%-51.2%-49.3%3.1%-24.0%15.2%35.4%56.3%-54.0%19.3%—
Dividend Yield2.8%2.8%——————————————————

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

25.5%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$13.25

Spread vs growth

-40.1%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

19.1%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$16.04

Spread vs growth

-33.6%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

14.4%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$25.83

Spread vs growth

-29.0%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +48.8%

Total return

+48.8%

Start / end P/E

13.0x → 22.3x

EPS bridge

7.84 → 6.70

Residual

-10.3%

EPS growth-14.5%
Multiple rerating+70.9%
Dividend+2.8%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-10.3%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.