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Financial Analysis

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v0.1
XTC.TO$7.73+0.78%
Fair $7.73+0.0%

XTC.TO

Exco Technologies Limited

Consumer Cyclical / Auto PartsToronto

$7.73

+0.06 (+0.78%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $7.73Fund rank 30/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 54/C
F-Score: 4/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 22%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $29.7M · quality 53.3/100

Data gap 30/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 30/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

54/100

C

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · XTC.TOLocal privado en este navegador · Exco Technologies Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$291M

P/E

12.3x

↓

EV/EBITDA

5.4x

↓

ROE

6.0%

↑

Gross Margin

20.0%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.24

↓
52-Week Range$8
$6$8

TradingView lightweight chart

XTC.TO price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $7.730Periodo +81.9%
Fair value: $7.730

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+7.9%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

4.8%

FCF / Net income

1.22x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $615.3M · net income $24.3M · FCF $29.7M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

20.0%+0.1% pts

Operating margin

5.5%-0.1% pts

Net margin

3.9%+0.1% pts

FCF margin

4.8%+11.0% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$615.3M$615.3M$637.8M$619.3M$489.9M
Net Income$24.3M$24.3M$29.6M$26.3M$19.0M
EBITDA$69.1M$69.1M$82.2M$74.5M$53.0M
EPS0.630.630.760.680.49
Gross Margin20.0%20.0%21.2%21.1%19.9%
Operating Margin5.5%5.5%7.5%6.8%5.6%
Net Margin3.9%3.9%4.6%4.2%3.9%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.240.240.290.310.33
Current Ratio2.702.70———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$29.7M$29.7M$47.8M$19.2M$-30.0M
Returns
ROE6.0%6.0%7.8%7.1%5.4%
Valuation
P/E12.2712.2710.3310.7915.20
EV/EBITDA5.375.374.685.187.32
P/B0.730.730.800.770.84
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-3.5%-3.5%3.0%26.4%—
EPS Growth-17.1%-17.1%11.8%38.8%—
Dividend Yield5.5%5.5%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

2.9%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.69

Spread vs growth

-20.0%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

5.7%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$0.83

Spread vs growth

-22.8%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

7.8%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$1.34

Spread vs growth

-24.9%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +20.0%

Total return

+20.0%

Start / end P/E

8.9x → 12.3x

EPS bridge

0.76 → 0.63

Residual

-6.5%

EPS growth-17.1%
Multiple rerating+38.1%
Dividend+5.5%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-6.5%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.