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Recent

v0.1
ZGN$14.53-1.16%
Fair $14.53+0.0%

ZGN

Ermenegildo Zegna N.V.

Consumer Cyclical / Apparel ManufacturingNYSE

$14.53

-0.17 (-1.16%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $14.53Fund rank 35/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 63/B
F-Score: 7/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 24% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $197.5M · quality 69.3/100

Data gap 35/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 75/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

63/100

B

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · ZGNLocal privado en este navegador · Ermenegildo Zegna N.V.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$3.9B

P/E

33.0x

↑

EV/EBITDA

10.4x

↑

ROE

9.6%

↑

Gross Margin

67.5%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.95

↑
52-Week Range$15
$8$15

TradingView lightweight chart

ZGN price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $14.53Periodo +35.3%
Fair value: $14.53

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+8.7%

FCF CAGR

+47.1%

FCF margin

12.1%

FCF / Net income

2.36x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.92B · net income $98.6M · FCF $232.7M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

67.5%+5.3% pts

Operating margin

7.3%-2.6% pts

Net margin

5.1%+1.7% pts

FCF margin

12.1%+7.2% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.92B$1.92B$1.95B$1.90B$1.49B
Net Income$98.6M$98.6M$77.1M$121.5M$51.5M
EBITDA$439.9M$439.9M$406.2M$394.7M$290.6M
EPS0.380.380.300.480.21
Gross Margin67.5%67.5%66.6%64.3%62.2%
Operating Margin7.3%7.3%8.6%10.9%9.9%
Net Margin5.1%5.1%4.0%6.4%3.4%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.950.951.131.191.35
Current Ratio1.591.59———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$232.7M$232.7M$153.6M$197.5M$73.1M
Returns
ROE9.6%9.6%8.4%14.5%7.6%
Valuation
P/E33.0233.0226.5322.7751.52
EV/EBITDA10.3610.366.998.7611.23
P/B3.683.682.213.283.84
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-1.5%-1.5%2.2%27.6%—
EPS Growth26.7%26.7%-37.5%128.6%—
Dividend Yield1.0%1.0%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

50.3%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.29

Spread vs growth

-23.6%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

32.6%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.56

Spread vs growth

-6.0%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

20.8%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$2.51

Spread vs growth

5.9%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +69.9%

Total return

+69.9%

Start / end P/E

28.7x → 38.2x

EPS bridge

0.30 → 0.38

Residual

+8.9%

EPS growth+26.7%
Multiple rerating+33.4%
Dividend+1.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+8.9%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.