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ZHCD.QA$14.22-0.63%
Fair $14.22+0.0%

ZHCD.QA

Zad Holding Company Q.P.S.C.

Consumer Defensive / Packaged FoodsQatar

$14.22

-0.09 (-0.63%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $14.22Fund rank 35/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 41/C
F-Score: 4/9
Declining Revenue

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 25% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $246.7M · quality 71.3/100

Data gap 35/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 69/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

41/100

C

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · ZHCD.QALocal privado en este navegador · Zad Holding Company Q.P.S.C.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$4.1B

P/E

17.6x

↑

EV/EBITDA

15.7x

↑

ROE

11.5%

↑

Gross Margin

19.8%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.42

↑
52-Week Range$14
$13$16

TradingView lightweight chart

ZHCD.QA price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $14.22Periodo +209.0%
Fair value: $14.22

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-2.7%

FCF CAGR

+50.5%

FCF margin

21.5%

FCF / Net income

1.37x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.27B · net income $199.3M · FCF $272.6M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

19.8%+6.8% pts

Operating margin

14.0%+2.0% pts

Net margin

15.7%+1.6% pts

FCF margin

21.5%+15.7% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.27B$1.27B$1.37B$1.41B$1.38B
Net Income$199.3M$199.3M$206.6M$195.3M$194.2M
EBITDA$299.5M$299.5M$316.5M$312.1M$284.9M
EPS0.690.690.720.680.68
Gross Margin19.8%19.8%19.7%13.9%13.0%
Operating Margin14.0%14.0%17.2%15.9%11.9%
Net Margin15.7%15.7%15.1%13.8%14.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.420.420.410.470.52
Current Ratio1.351.35———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$272.6M$272.6M$246.7M$192.7M$80.0M
Returns
ROE11.5%11.5%14.9%14.6%15.1%
Valuation
P/E17.5617.5621.0320.2920.07
EV/EBITDA15.7115.7114.9114.5015.92
P/B2.362.363.142.963.05
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-7.3%-7.3%-3.1%2.4%—
EPS Growth-4.2%-4.2%5.9%0.0%—
Dividend Yield4.8%4.8%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

22.3%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.26

Spread vs growth

-26.5%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

17.2%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.53

Spread vs growth

-21.4%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

13.6%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$2.46

Spread vs growth

-17.7%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +4.7%

Total return

+4.7%

Start / end P/E

19.8x → 20.6x

EPS bridge

0.72 → 0.69

Residual

-0.2%

EPS growth-4.2%
Multiple rerating+4.3%
Dividend+4.8%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-0.2%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.