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ZUMZ$23.52+0.86%
Fair $23.52+0.0%

ZUMZ

Zumiez Inc.

Consumer Cyclical / Apparel RetailNasdaqGS

$23.52

+0.20 (+0.86%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $23.52Fund rank 25/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 41/C
F-Score: 7/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $5.7M · quality 42.0/100

Data gap 25/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 16/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

41/100

C

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

20/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 17Warnings: 1unknown: 17
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 4.1%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · ZUMZLocal privado en este navegador · Zumiez Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$406M

P/E

30.2x

↑

EV/EBITDA

12.5x

↑

ROE

4.1%

↓

Gross Margin

35.8%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.61

↑
52-Week Range$24
$11$32

TradingView lightweight chart

ZUMZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $23.52Periodo +89.1%
Fair value: $23.52

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2010–2026 · 16 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+5.3%

FCF CAGR

+2.5%

FCF margin

4.6%

FCF / Net income

3.17x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $929.1M · net income $13.4M · FCF $42.4M

2010-FY → 2026-FY

Gross margin

35.8%+3.1% pts

Operating margin

1.8%-1.3% pts

Net margin

1.4%-0.8% pts

FCF margin

4.6%-2.4% pts
MetricTTM
2026
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
Income Statement
Revenue$929.1M$929.1M$889.2M$875.5M$958.4M$1.18B$990.7M$1.03B$978.6M$927.4M$836.3M$804.2M$811.6M$724.3M$669.4M$555.9M$478.8M$407.6M
Net Income$13.4M$13.4M$-1.7M$-62.6M$21.0M$119.3M$76.2M$66.9M$45.2M$26.8M$25.9M$28.8M$43.2M$45.9M$42.2M$37.4M$24.2M$9.1M
EBITDA$38.2M$38.2M$24.1M$-42.0M$52.7M$180.7M$121.0M$111.3M$88.4M$76.0M$67.7M$76.6M$100.7M$99.4M$91.5M$80.0M$55.3M$34.8M
EPS0.780.78-0.09-3.251.084.853.002.621.791.081.041.041.471.521.351.200.790.30
Gross Margin35.8%35.8%34.1%32.1%33.9%38.6%35.3%35.4%34.3%33.4%32.9%33.4%35.4%36.1%36.0%36.3%35.0%32.7%
Operating Margin1.8%1.8%0.2%-7.4%3.2%13.3%9.8%8.3%6.2%5.3%4.8%5.7%8.8%10.1%10.2%10.8%7.8%3.1%
Net Margin1.4%1.4%-0.2%-7.2%2.2%10.1%7.7%6.5%4.6%2.9%3.1%3.6%5.3%6.3%6.3%6.7%5.1%2.2%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.610.610.610.630.62————————0.000.01———
Current Ratio2.012.01————————————————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$42.4M$42.4M$5.7M$-5.6M$-26.0M$119.2M$129.4M$87.3M$44.4M$41.5M$28.1M——$30.9M$25.2M$42.6M$19.3M$28.6M
Returns
ROE4.1%4.1%-0.5%-17.7%5.2%25.5%13.8%14.3%11.3%7.5%8.4%9.7%12.0%13.7%13.9%13.7%10.7%4.7%
Valuation
P/E30.1530.15——26.00—————————————
EV/EBITDA12.5012.5015.97—13.62—————————————
P/B1.251.250.910.971.34—————————————
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth4.5%4.5%1.6%-8.6%—19.5%-4.2%5.7%5.5%10.9%4.0%-0.9%12.0%8.2%20.4%16.1%17.5%—
EPS Growth966.7%966.7%97.2%-400.9%—61.7%14.5%46.4%65.7%3.8%0.0%-29.3%-3.3%12.6%12.5%51.9%163.3%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

38.8%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$2.09

Spread vs growth

927.8%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

26.5%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$2.53

Spread vs growth

940.2%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

18.0%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$4.07

Spread vs growth

948.7%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +94.2%

Total return

+94.2%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.09 → 0.78

Residual

+94.2%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+94.2%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.