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000531.SZ$8.22+4.85%
Fair $8.22+0.0%

000531.SZ

Guangzhou Hengyun Enterprises Holding Ltd

Utilities / Utilities - Regulated ElectricShenzhen

$8.22

+0.38 (+4.85%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $8.22Fund rank 20/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 45/C
F-Score: 8/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 15%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-472.7M · quality 33.0/100

Data gap 20/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 8/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

45/100

C

Piotroski

8/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years ROE is 4.5%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 000531.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Guangzhou Hengyun Enterprises Holding Ltd
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$8.6B

P/E

20.0x

↑

EV/EBITDA

15.9x

↑

ROE

4.5%

↑

Gross Margin

15.8%

↓

Debt/Equity

1.36

↑
52-Week Range$8
$6$9

TradingView lightweight chart

000531.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $8.220Periodo +145.8%
Fair value: $8.220

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+1.7%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

0.7%

FCF / Net income

0.09x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $4.14B · net income $302.5M · FCF $27.3M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

15.8%+17.2% pts

Operating margin

8.3%+18.8% pts

Net margin

7.3%+8.8% pts

FCF margin

0.7%+56.3% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$4.14B$4.14B$4.30B$4.82B$3.93B
Net Income$302.5M$302.5M$166.6M$293.1M$-57.3M
EBITDA$1.06B$1.06B$901.3M$1.03B$551.1M
EPS0.290.290.160.35-0.07
Gross Margin15.8%15.8%14.3%14.9%-1.4%
Operating Margin8.3%8.3%5.8%7.6%-10.4%
Net Margin7.3%7.3%3.9%6.1%-1.5%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.361.361.531.641.70
Current Ratio0.920.92———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$27.3M$27.3M$-472.7M$-1.65B$-2.19B
Returns
ROE4.5%4.5%2.5%4.5%-1.2%
Valuation
P/E20.0520.0537.1919.49—
EV/EBITDA15.8815.8816.8913.4923.37
P/B1.261.260.940.871.05
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-3.7%-3.7%-10.9%22.6%—
EPS Growth82.8%82.8%-54.3%602.7%—
Dividend Yield1.8%1.8%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

35.6%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.73

Spread vs growth

47.2%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

24.7%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.88

Spread vs growth

58.1%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

17.1%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.42

Spread vs growth

65.7%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +33.1%

Total return

+33.1%

Start / end P/E

39.1x → 28.1x

EPS bridge

0.16 → 0.29

Residual

-23.3%

EPS growth+82.8%
Multiple rerating-28.2%
Dividend+1.8%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-23.3%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.