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000751.SZ$5.21+0.58%
Fair $5.21+0.0%

000751.SZ

Huludao Zinc Industry Co.,Ltd.

Basic Materials / Other Industrial Metals & MiningShenzhen

$5.21

+0.03 (+0.58%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $5.21Fund rank 22/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 38/D
F-Score: 6/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 16%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-474.2M · quality 33.7/100

Data gap 22/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 6/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

38/100

D

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. ROE is 1.9%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 000751.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Huludao Zinc Industry Co.,Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$8.4B

P/E

74.4x

↑

EV/EBITDA

26.2x

↑

ROE

1.9%

↑

Gross Margin

3.2%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.93

↑
52-Week Range$5
$3$8

TradingView lightweight chart

000751.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $5.210Periodo +106.9%
Fair value: $5.210

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-0.2%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-0.7%

FCF / Net income

-1.77x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $18.53B · net income $68.1M · FCF $-120.5M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

3.2%+0.3% pts

Operating margin

1.9%+0.2% pts

Net margin

0.4%+0.0% pts

FCF margin

-0.7%-2.6% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$18.53B$18.53B$15.60B$15.67B$18.66B
Net Income$68.1M$68.1M$21.3M$89.1M$65.9M
EBITDA$411.0M$411.0M$384.4M$505.3M$451.2M
EPS0.040.040.010.060.05
Gross Margin3.2%3.2%3.3%4.1%2.9%
Operating Margin1.9%1.9%1.6%2.2%1.6%
Net Margin0.4%0.4%0.1%0.6%0.4%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.930.930.790.670.72
Current Ratio1.131.13———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-120.5M$-120.5M$-703.2M$-474.2M$360.9M
Returns
ROE1.9%1.9%0.6%2.5%2.2%
Valuation
P/E74.4374.43271.0054.1760.60
EV/EBITDA26.1826.1818.2910.2810.01
P/B2.452.451.621.351.33
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth18.8%18.8%-0.4%-16.0%—
EPS Growth300.0%300.0%-83.3%20.0%—
Dividend Yield0.2%0.2%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

126.1%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.46

Spread vs growth

173.9%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

69.5%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.56

Spread vs growth

230.5%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

36.5%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.90

Spread vs growth

263.5%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +73.3%

Total return

+73.3%

Start / end P/E

301.0x → 130.3x

EPS bridge

0.01 → 0.04

Residual

-170.2%

EPS growth+300.0%
Multiple rerating-56.7%
Dividend+0.2%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-170.2%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.