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000789.SZ$4.63+1.98%
Fair $4.63+0.0%

000789.SZ

Jiangxi Wannianqing Cement Co., Ltd.

Basic Materials / Building MaterialsShenzhen

$4.63

+0.09 (+1.98%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $4.63Fund rank 30/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 38/D
F-Score: 5/9
Declining RevenueMargin CompressionLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 20%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $370.8M · quality 54.7/100

Data gap 30/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 32/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

38/100

D

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 3unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is 0.4%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 000789.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Jiangxi Wannianqing Cement Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$3.7B

P/E

122.5x

↑

EV/EBITDA

4.6x

↓

ROE

0.4%

↑

Gross Margin

15.3%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.39

↑
52-Week Range$5
$4$7

TradingView lightweight chart

000789.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $4.630Periodo +96.3%
Fair value: $4.630

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-26.1%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

8.1%

FCF / Net income

12.78x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $4.56B · net income $29.0M · FCF $370.8M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

15.3%-2.2% pts

Operating margin

0.0%-8.1% pts

Net margin

0.6%-2.8% pts

FCF margin

8.1%+9.7% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$4.56B$4.56B$5.92B$8.19B$11.28B
Net Income$29.0M$29.0M$13.2M$228.6M$388.6M
EBITDA$735.3M$735.3M$808.5M$1.20B$1.47B
EPS0.040.040.020.290.48
Gross Margin15.3%15.3%17.4%18.4%17.5%
Operating Margin0.0%0.0%3.8%7.9%8.2%
Net Margin0.6%0.6%0.2%2.8%3.4%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.390.390.370.390.45
Current Ratio1.421.42———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$370.8M$370.8M$507.8M$158.2M$-179.0M
Returns
ROE0.4%0.4%0.2%3.3%5.6%
Valuation
P/E122.49122.49297.5824.2418.29
EV/EBITDA4.584.582.263.503.91
P/B0.540.540.570.791.02
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-23.1%-23.1%-27.7%-27.4%—
EPS Growth129.1%129.1%-94.2%-39.7%—
Dividend Yield3.2%3.2%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

121.5%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.41

Spread vs growth

7.6%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

67.4%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.50

Spread vs growth

61.7%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

35.7%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.80

Spread vs growth

93.4%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -12.9%

Total return

-12.9%

Start / end P/E

334.5x → 122.5x

EPS bridge

0.02 → 0.04

Residual

-81.8%

EPS growth+129.1%
Multiple rerating-63.4%
Dividend+3.2%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-81.8%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.