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001231.SZ$21.64-2.43%
Fair $21.64+0.0%

001231.SZ

Norsyn Crop Technology Co., Ltd.

Basic Materials / Agricultural InputsShenzhen

$21.64

-0.54 (-2.43%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $21.64Fund rank 27/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 51/C
F-Score: 5/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 19%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $28.8M · quality 48.0/100

Data gap 27/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 19/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

51/100

C

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists.
Thesis & Journal · 001231.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Norsyn Crop Technology Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$2.2B

P/E

31.4x

↑

EV/EBITDA

17.6x

↑

ROE

6.7%

↑

Gross Margin

28.2%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.15

↓
52-Week Range$22
$19$30

TradingView lightweight chart

001231.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $21.64Periodo -15.4%
Fair value: $21.64

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+6.7%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

3.7%

FCF / Net income

0.43x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $769.9M · net income $66.6M · FCF $28.8M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

28.2%-5.5% pts

Operating margin

9.7%-4.5% pts

Net margin

8.7%-6.1% pts

FCF margin

3.7%+22.1% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$769.9M$769.9M$649.3M$605.7M$633.9M
Net Income$66.6M$66.6M$59.9M$52.3M$93.8M
EBITDA$112.7M$112.7M$86.9M$76.4M$118.4M
EPS0.680.680.600.521.13
Gross Margin28.2%28.2%33.2%32.5%33.7%
Operating Margin9.7%9.7%9.6%8.3%14.2%
Net Margin8.7%8.7%9.2%8.6%14.8%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.150.150.000.140.10
Current Ratio1.941.94———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$28.8M$28.8M$13.0M$28.8M$-116.6M
Returns
ROE6.7%6.7%6.2%5.6%10.3%
Valuation
P/E31.3631.3626.9241.0420.50
EV/EBITDA17.6317.6315.8823.3712.50
P/B2.122.121.682.282.12
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth18.6%18.6%7.2%-4.4%—
EPS Growth13.3%13.3%15.4%-54.0%—
Dividend Yield1.3%1.3%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

41.3%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.92

Spread vs growth

-28.0%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

27.9%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$2.32

Spread vs growth

-14.5%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

18.6%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$3.74

Spread vs growth

-5.3%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +12.4%

Total return

+12.4%

Start / end P/E

32.4x → 31.8x

EPS bridge

0.60 → 0.68

Residual

-0.3%

EPS growth+13.3%
Multiple rerating-1.9%
Dividend+1.3%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-0.3%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.