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001378.SZ$20.27+0.20%
Fair $20.27+0.0%

001378.SZ

Guangdong Decro Film New Materials Co., Ltd.

Basic Materials / Specialty ChemicalsShenzhen

$20.27

+0.04 (+0.20%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $20.27Fund rank 25/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 46/C
F-Score: 4/9
Margin CompressionLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-74.6M · quality 46.3/100

Data gap 25/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 9/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

46/100

C

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is 4.4%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 001378.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Guangdong Decro Film New Materials Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$3.5B

P/E

39.7x

↑

EV/EBITDA

16.3x

↑

ROE

4.4%

↑

Gross Margin

13.8%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.04

↓
52-Week Range$20
$16$22

TradingView lightweight chart

001378.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $20.27Periodo -65.3%
Fair value: $20.27

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+4.7%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-5.1%

FCF / Net income

-0.90x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.48B · net income $82.6M · FCF $-74.6M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

13.8%-8.5% pts

Operating margin

5.6%-8.5% pts

Net margin

5.6%-7.1% pts

FCF margin

-5.1%-4.2% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.48B$1.48B$1.52B$1.22B$1.29B
Net Income$82.6M$82.6M$93.1M$121.4M$163.9M
EBITDA$154.6M$154.6M$162.7M$171.6M$218.2M
EPS0.620.620.701.151.64
Gross Margin13.8%13.8%13.3%18.8%22.3%
Operating Margin5.6%5.6%5.7%10.4%14.1%
Net Margin5.6%5.6%6.1%10.0%12.7%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.040.040.030.170.13
Current Ratio2.072.07———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-74.6M$-74.6M$-59.0M$-260.4M$-11.3M
Returns
ROE4.4%4.4%4.9%6.4%20.2%
Valuation
P/E39.7539.7524.0425.86—
EV/EBITDA16.2716.2711.6513.14—
P/B1.441.441.181.67—
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-2.8%-2.8%24.8%-5.4%—
EPS Growth-11.4%-11.4%-39.1%-29.9%—
Dividend Yield4.7%4.7%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

42.6%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.80

Spread vs growth

-54.0%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

28.5%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$2.18

Spread vs growth

-40.0%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

18.9%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$3.51

Spread vs growth

-30.3%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +22.8%

Total return

+22.8%

Start / end P/E

24.5x → 32.7x

EPS bridge

0.70 → 0.62

Residual

-3.8%

EPS growth-11.4%
Multiple rerating+33.4%
Dividend+4.7%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-3.8%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.